The Milwaukee Bucks (-149) are favored by 3 points against the Oklahoma City Thunder (+124) in a non-conference matchup. The over/under line is 231.5, and the game will be played at Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:00 ET.

Oklahoma City is currently on a 4-game winning streak and sits atop the Western Conference standings with a record of 49-20. The Bucks are second in the East at 45-25.


The Pick: Milwaukee Bucks -3

This game will be played at Fiserv Forum at 7:00 ET on Sunday, March 24th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 119-114 in favor of the Bucks.
  • Our projections have Giannis Antetokounmpo finishing with Giannis Antetokounmpo points, 11 rebounds and 6 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Bucks finishing with a field goal percentage of 49.0% and knocking down 17 threes.

Can the Thunder Pull Off a Road Win?

Today, the Thunder are 3-point underdogs against the Bucks. This season, they have been the underdog in 16 of their 69 games and have a 9-7 record in those games. Their scoring differential as the underdog is +1.6 points per game.

Oklahoma City’s O/U record for the season is 36-32-1, and the under has hit in their last two games. On average, their games have finished with 233.6 points, which is slightly higher than today’s line of 231.5.

In their most recent game, the Thunder defeated the Raptors by a score of 123-103. They were favored by 16.5 points in that game and improved their ATS record to 41-28 (19-15 on the road).

The Thunder are currently in 1st place in the Western Conference with a record of 49-20. In the West, they have gone 31-15 and are 18-5 against non-conference opponents. On the road, their straight-up record is 21-13.

When it comes to scoring, the Thunder are one of the most efficient teams in the league. They are currently 3rd in the NBA in scoring at 120.7 points per game. On the road, they are averaging 118.7 points per game.

Oklahoma City has scored below the NBA scoring average in just 29% of their games this season. In terms of pace, they are 11th in the league at 99.7 possessions per game.

So far, the Thunder have made 50% of their field goal attempts, which is 2nd in the NBA. They are also one of the best three-point shooting teams in the league, making 39% of their shots from beyond the arc.

On defense, the Thunder come into the game ranked 13th in the league in points allowed at 112.9 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 107.3 points per contest (25th). Opponents are hitting 51.9% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 36.7% of their three-point attempts.

Does Milwaukee Have What it Takes to Win as Home Favorites?

The Bucks have won five straight games at home and are favored by 3 points today against the Thunder. As the favorite, the Bucks have gone 42-16 this season and have been favored in 58 of their 70 games.

Milwaukee’s O/U record for the season is 35-35, and their last three games have gone over the posted total. This year, their games have averaged 237.8 points per game compared to today’s line of 231.5.

In their last game, the Bucks defeated the Nets by a score of 115-108. Milwaukee covered the spread as 10.5-point favorites, and the O/U line for that game was 221.5.

The Bucks are 2nd in the Eastern Conference with a record of 45-25. Against other Eastern Conference teams, they are 31-14 and 10-7 against the Central Division. Overall, they are 31-39 ATS this season, going 16-19 ATS at home.

On average, the Bucks have a scoring differential of +6.9 points per game at home. Their ATS record as the favorite is 26-32, and they are 3-9 as the underdog.

At home, the Bucks are averaging 123 points per game, which is 3rd in the NBA. Overall, they are 4th in scoring at 120.6 points per game. Milwaukee has outscored the league’s average in 65.7% of their games this season.

When it comes to pace, the Bucks are 5th in the NBA at 100.2 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 7th overall at 49%. From beyond the arc, Milwaukee is 5th in three-point shooting at 37%.

So far, the Bucks have taken the most free throws per game in the league at 24.8 attempts, and they are 4th in made free throws at 19.2 per game. In terms of assists, Milwaukee is 15th in the NBA with 26.5 per game.

At this time, the Bucks’ defense is positioned 22nd in the NBA, permitting 117.2 points per game. The Milwaukee defense has allowed opponents to shoot 35.9% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 47.3% of their field goal attempts vs. Milwaukee.