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The Clippers and Mavericks will square off in game four of their first-round series at 3:30 PM ET at American Airlines Center in Dallas. The Mavericks currently lead the series 2-1 and are favored by six points at home. The over/under line is sitting at 208.5 points, and the Mavericks are -238 on the money line compared to the Clippers at +194. ABC is carrying this game on TV.

LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS VS DALLAS MAVERICKS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Los Angeles Clippers +6

This game will be played at American Airlines Center at 3:30 ET on Sunday, April 28th.

WHY BET THE LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 118-115 in favor of the Mavericks.
  • Our projections have Luka Doncic finishing with Luka Doncic points, 9 rebounds and 10 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Mavericks finishing with a field goal percentage of 49.5% and knocking down 17 threes.

The Mavericks picked up an 11-point win over the Clippers in the most recent game of this series. Dallas was favored by 4.5 points and easily covered the spread. The over/under line for the game was 213.5 points, and the teams fell 22.5 points short of that mark. Luka Doncic had a double-double for the Mavericks, finishing with 22 points, 9 assists, and 10 rebounds.

It was a close game after the 1st quarter, with the Clippers holding a 23-18 lead. However, Dallas dominated the 2nd quarter, outscoring the Clippers 36-18. The Mavericks held the Clippers to just 45.7% shooting from the floor and 10 made threes. James Harden and Norman Powell each had 21 points for the Clippers.

Will the Clippers Make it Happen on the Road?

The Clippers are 6-point underdogs today against the Mavericks and have gone 6-15 as underdogs this season. In games where they are the underdog, they have a scoring differential of -6.8 points per game.

Los Angeles has lost their last two games straight up and are 39-46 against the spread this season. On the road, they have an ATS record of 20-22.

This season, the Clippers have an O/U record of 38-46-1, and the under has hit in their last five games. On average, their games have finished with 226.8 points, and today's O/U line is 208.5.

The Clippers are currently 4th in the Western Conference with a record of 51-31. Against other Western Conference teams, they are 30-22 compared to 21-9 against the East.

In their last game against the Mavericks, the Clippers lost by a score of 101-90. They were 4.5-point underdogs in that game and finished with an ATS loss.

The Clippers are 8th in field goal percentage this season, at 48%. This has helped them to be 12th in scoring at 115.6 points per game. Looking at their pace, the Clippers are 27th in the league, averaging 96.6 possessions per contest. So far, the Clippers have been below average in terms of scoring efficiency in 53.7% of their games.

James Harden is averaging 18.8 points per game in his last four games, while shooting 45.8% from the field. In these games, he hit 3.2 threes per contest. Paul George has hit 2.2 threes per game in his last four but averaged just 15.2 points per game in that stretch. The Clippers are not sure if Kawhi Leonard will be able to play today, as he is questionable with a knee injury. Leonard is averaging 23.7 points per game this season.

When it comes to defense, the Clippers have been solid all season long, ranking 10th in the league at 111.8 points per game. This is a unit that doesn't give up a lot of easy buckets, as they are 9th in two-point shooting percentage allowed at 53.8%.

Over their last five games, Los Angeles has been even better, ranking 6th in points allowed at 104 per contest. They have been particularly stingy from beyond the arc, allowing opponents to shoot just 28.9% from three-point range during this stretch.

One area where the Clippers have struggled a bit is at the free-throw line, as they are 20th in made free-throws allowed per game at 16.8.

Will Dallas Make it Happen at Home?

The Mavericks have a record of 50-32 this season, which is good for 5th place in the Western Conference. In games against other Western Conference teams, they are 31-21 compared to 19-11 against the East.

Dallas has won two straight games and is currently in 1st place in the Southwest Division. At home, the Mavericks are 26-16 straight-up and 22-20 against the spread.

Against the spread, the Mavericks are 50-35 for the season and have covered in their last two games. As the favorite, they are 34-19 ATS and 39-14 straight-up. Today, they are favored by 6 points.

In their most recent game, the Mavericks defeated the Clippers by a score of 101-90. The O/U line for that game was 213.5, and Dallas covered the spread as 4.5-point favorites.

This season, the Mavericks have gone 37-48 on the O/U, and their games have averaged a combined 232.2 points. In their last six games, the under has hit.

For the season, Luka Doncic is averaging 33.9 points per game to go along with 9.8 assists. Over his last three games, he has averaged 29 points while hitting just 37.7% of his shots from the field. In these games, he has hit 4 threes per game. Kyrie Irving is averaging 25.6 points per game this year and 25 points per game in his last three games.

Dallas is the 8th ranked scoring offense this season, at 117.9 points per game. At home, they are 9th in the league, with an average of 118.3 points per contest. The Mavericks are also a top-three team in made threes, at 14.6 per game.

When it comes to defense, the Mavericks have been middle of the pack this season, ranking 18th in the NBA in points allowed per game at 115.0. However, over their last five games, they have been even better, ranking 12th in the league at 106.8 points per game allowed.

One area where Dallas has struggled this season is defending the three-point line, allowing opponents to shoot 36.7% from beyond the arc, which is 20th in the league. Overall, opponents have made 13.1 three-pointers per game against the Mavericks.

Despite being just 15th in blocked shots per game, the Mavericks have done a good job of contesting shots inside the arc, ranking 14th in two-point shooting percentage allowed at 54.2%.