The 76ers will look to even up this first-round series with the Knicks on Sunday afternoon, as they currently trail 2-1. Tip-off for game four is at 1:00 PM ET at the Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia. ABC is carrying the game on TV. The over/under line is at 209.5 points, and the 76ers are favored by 4.5 points. On the money line, the 76ers are at -194 compared to the Knicks at +160.

NEW YORK KNICKS VS PHILADELPHIA 76ERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: New York Knicks +4.5

This game will be played at Wells Fargo Center at 1:00 ET on Sunday, April 28th.

WHY BET THE NEW YORK KNICKS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 113-108 in favor of the Knicks.
  • Our projections have Jalen Brunson finishing with Jalen Brunson points, 4 rebounds and 7 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Knicks finishing with a field goal percentage of 47.1% and knocking down 17 threes.

Joel Embiid had a huge game for the 76ers in their most recent game against the Knicks, as he scored 50 points and hit five threes. Embiid also added eight rebounds and four assists. The 76ers won the game by a score of 125-114. Embiid’s performance was part of a big game for the 76ers offense, as they shot 54.7% from the field and 48.4% from three-point range.

The 76ers were favored by 5.5 points in the game, and they covered the spread with their 11-point win. Going into the game, the over/under line was 204.5 points, and the teams combined for 239 points. As for the Knicks, Jalen Brunson had 39 points and 13 assists in the loss.

Will New York Pull Through as the Underdog Road Team?

In today’s game, the Knicks are 4.5-point underdogs. This season, they have been the underdog in 36 of their 82 games and have gone 14-22 in those games.

New York’s ATS record for the season is 46-38, and they have failed to cover the spread in their last two games. On the road, they are 23-18 ATS compared to 23-20 at home.

The Knicks are 2nd in the Eastern Conference with a record of 50-32. In non-conference games, they are 15-15 and 35-17 against other Eastern Conference teams.

On average, the Knicks’ games have seen a combined scoring total of 221 points, which is higher than today’s O/U line of 209.5. This season, their games have averaged an O/U line of 221.3.

New York’s last game was also against the 76ers, and they lost by a score of 125-114. The Knicks were 5.5-point underdogs in that game, and the O/U line was 204.5.

In the Knicks’ most recent game, the O/U record was 4-6-0. For the season, their O/U record is 38-46-1. The final score of their last game was 239 points, surpassing the O/U line of 204.5.

Looking at Jalen Brunson’s last five games, he is averaging 31 points per game on 38.7% shooting. In these games, he also averaged 8.8 assists. For the season, he is averaging 28.7 points and 6.7 assists. Josh Hart has hit 50.8% of his shots from the field in his last five games and 50% of his threes. This led to an average of 18.2 points and 10.2 rebounds.

New York is the slowest-paced team in the league this season, averaging 94.8 possessions per game. Despite this, they are 19th in scoring at 112.8 points per contest. The Knicks’ field goal percentage of 46% is 22nd in the league.

When it comes to defense, the New York Knicks have been one of the best units in the league this season. They are currently 4th in the NBA in points allowed per game at 108.3. On the road, they’ve been even better, ranking 8th at 111.5 points per contest.

One thing that has been consistent for the Knicks’ defense is their ability to keep teams below their season scoring average. In fact, opponents have scored less than their season average in 72% of games against New York.

Overall, the Knicks have been solid at defending the three-point line, allowing opponents to shoot just 36.3% from deep. However, they have given up more threes than their opponent’s season average in 41.5% of games.

Can the 76ers Grab a Win at Home?

In games against Eastern Conference opponents, the 76ers have gone 31-21 compared to 16-14 in non-conference play. This record has them in 7th place in the East.

At home, the 76ers have a straight-up record of 27-16 and have won their last six games at home. Against the spread, they are 25-17 at home.

Philadelphia’s ATS record this season is 51-34, and they have covered the spread in their last two games. As the favorite, they are 35-18 ATS and have been favored in 40 of their 53 wins.

Their O/U record for the season is 45-41, and 79 of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s line of 209.5. This year, their games have averaged 225.7 points.

The 76ers are coming off a 125-114 win over the Knicks, where they were favored by 5.5 points. The O/U line for that game was 204.5, and Philly has won 11 straight games as the favorite.

Joel Embiid has averaged 34 points per game over his last four games. In these games, he shot 39.3% from beyond the arc and averaged 10.2 rebounds. Tyrese Maxey has averaged 27.6 points per game in his last five games on 48.6% shooting. Over these games, he hit an average of 3 threes per game.

Philadelphia is the 15th-ranked scoring offense this season, at 114.6 points per game. Their home scoring average of 115.4 points per contest is 14th in the league. The team’s three-point shooting percentage of 36% is 19th in the league.

At home this season, the Philadelphia 76ers are giving up 110.5 points per game, which is 9th in the NBA. In their last five games, they have been even better on the defensive end, allowing just 103.8 points per game, which is 5th in the league during that stretch.

On the season, opposing teams have made 40.2% of their three-point attempts against the 76ers, which is 6th in the NBA. Over their last five games, however, they have been a bit more susceptible from beyond the arc, allowing teams to shoot 36.9% from three-point range.

Overall, opponents have made 46.7% of their field goals against Philadelphia this season, which is 10th in the NBA. In terms of two-point shooting percentage allowed, the 76ers are also 10th in the league at 53.8%.