At 7:10 PM from Fenway Park in Boston, we have an interleague matchup between the Cubs and Red Sox. Heading into Sunday’s game, the Cubs have a record of 17-10, while the Red Sox are 15-13. Tanner Houck is starting for the Red Sox, and he is facing off against Hayden Wesneski.

Chicago comes into this one as the slight underdog on the money line (+106), and the over/under line is at 8.5 runs. You can catch this one on ESPN.

CHICAGO CUBS VS BOSTON RED SOX BETTING PICK

The Pick: Chicago Cubs Moneyline +106

This game will be played at Fenway Park at 7:10 ET on Sunday, April 28th.

HOW TO BET THE CUBS VS RED SOX:

  • We have the Cubs winning by a score of 5 to 4
  • If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Cubs to cover
  • As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Boston cruised to an easy 17-0 win over the Cubs in the most recent game of this series. The Red Sox had a huge 5th inning, scoring six of their seventeen runs. As for the Cubs, they only had five hits and didn’t score a run until the 7th inning.

Josh Winckowski only went three innings for the Red Sox but didn’t give up a run and picked up the win. He finished the game with just one strikeout and allowed three hits. On the other side, Ben Brown was tagged for three homers and seven hits in just 3 2/3 innings of work.

Ceddanne Rafaela had a monster game at the plate for Boston, going 4/4 with a home run and seven RBIs. Tyler O’Neill also had a three-hit game and drove in two for the Red Sox’ offense.

Cubs Records & Stats

Chicago’s overall record is 17-10 heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Red Sox. The Cubs will be looking to pick up a road win and close the 0.5-game gap between them and the Brewers in the NL Central. So far, they have yet to play a game in the division.

The Cubs won the final game of their series vs. the Astros and then took the first game of this series vs. the Red Sox. Chicago’s series record is 5-2-1 this year, and they have won two straight series on the road. At home, the Cubs are 10-3 compared to 7-7 on the road. As the underdog, the Cubs have won four straight and are 10-7 as the underdog overall.

When it comes to the run line, the Cubs have been a profitable team to back this season, going 19-8 overall. They are 9-4 against the run line at home and 10-4 on the road. They have been especially good against the run line as the underdog, going 13-4. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.6, while their average run margin in losing games is -4.6.

Chicago Cubs games have been trending towards the over, with the over hitting in 13 of their 27 games this season. Their games have averaged 9.8 runs per game, and the over has hit in four of their seven games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs. Their over streak is currently at two games.

Hayden Wesneski will be making his first start of the season for the Cubs as they take on the Red Sox. Wesneski has been used out of the bullpen in his first two outings, and he has picked up wins in both of those appearances. He has pitched a total of 6 1/3 innings, striking out 3 and has not allowed an earned run yet.

So far this season, the Cubs have been one of the league’s top-scoring offenses, averaging 5.2 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.8 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .247, which is 10th in the league, and are also near the top of the league in on-base percentage and slugging. Chicago comes into the game with the 8th best isolated power figure in the league.

Michael Busch and Cody Bellinger have been the Cubs’ top power threats this season, with Busch’s six homers ranking 5th in the league, and Bellinger’s five homers is 6th best. Both players are also tied for the team lead with 17 RBIs. Nico Hoerner has been a consistent hitter for the Cubs this season, batting .283, and he has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 5/14 in his last five games.

Red Sox Records & Stats

Boston is hosting the Cubs today with an overall record of 15-13, which has them three games behind the Orioles for the AL East lead. So far, they have yet to win a game against another AL East team, going 0-3. The Red Sox took the first game of this series vs. the Cubs after dropping their final game vs. the Guardians.

At home, the Red Sox are just 4-8 this year compared to 11-5 on the road. As the favorite, Boston has gone 7-4 and 8-9 as the underdog. So far, their overall series record is 4-3-1.

When the Red Sox win, they win big, with an average run margin of 5.1 runs. But when they lose, it’s by an average of 3.4 runs. The Red Sox are 16-12 against the run line this season, including a 12-4 mark on the road. They are just 4-8 against the run line at home, where their average run margin is -0.9 runs per game. As the underdog, they are 12-5 against the run line, while as the favorite, they are just 4-7.

At home, the Boston Red Sox have had a combined run average of 8.4 runs per game this season. Their over/under record is 13-13, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, they have gone over the total in 7 of 9 games. Overall, 46.4% of their games have had lower over/under lines than 8.5 runs.

Tanner Houck has gotten off to a strong start to the season, with a win in his first start and a tough-luck loss in his second outing. He is coming off a 6-inning, 4-strikeout performance against the Guardians, and he has 20 strikeouts in 21 innings this season. Houck has also thrown a complete game, as he went 9 innings in a win over the Guardians.

So far this season, the Red Sox offense is 9th in the league at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per game, which is also 9th in the league. As a team, the Red Sox are 2nd in home runs, and they have the league’s 3rd best isolated power figure at .170.

Over his last four games, Tyler O’Neill has gone 7/18 with two homers and three RBIs. O’Neill is currently 2nd in the league with nine homers and is batting .333 for the season. Ceddanne Rafaela has two homers in his last eight games and is 1st on the team with 17 RBIs, but he is batting just .191 for the season.