In a battle between two Eastern Conference foes, the Cleveland Cavaliers (43-27) will travel to Miami to take on the Heat (38-32). Tip-off is scheduled for 6:00 ET at the Kaseya Center.


Line: Miami -4.5

Over/Under: 203

Moneyline: Cleveland +152, Miami -186

Records: Cleveland 43-27, Miami 38-32

Trends: Cleveland is 2-0 SU in their last 2 games.

Rankings: Cleveland is 3rd in the Eastern Conference, while Miami is 7th.

Matchup: Cleveland (+152) at Miami (-186)


The Pick: Cleveland Cavaliers +4.5

This game will be played at Kaseya Center at 6:00 ET on Sunday, March 24th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 113-112 in favor of the Cavaliers.
  • Our projections have Darius Garland finishing with Darius Garland points, 2 rebounds and 6 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Cavaliers finishing with a field goal percentage of 48.8% and knocking down 11 threes.

Can Cleveland Grab a Win on the Road?

Cleveland is coming off a 104-91 loss to the Timberwolves. The O/U line for that game was 206.5, and the Cavs were 7.5-point underdogs. This loss puts their ATS record at 34-34 for the season.

For the year, Cleveland has an O/U record of 32-37-1. In their games this season, the average combined scoring total is 222.4 points, and today’s O/U line is set at 203.

The Cavaliers are 11-13 as underdogs this season and have gone 13-10 ATS as the underdog. On the road, their ATS record is 17-15, and they are 21-24 as the underdog vs. the spread.

In the Eastern Conference, the Cavaliers are currently in 3rd place with a record of 43-27. Against the East, they are 28-18 and 15-9 in non-conference games.

In terms of their ATS record, the Cavs have failed to cover in two straight games. On the road, they have an average scoring margin of +4.0 PPG.

So far this season, the Cavaliers are averaging 113.1 points per game, which is 20th in the NBA. On the road, their scoring average drops slightly to 111.8 points per game.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Cavaliers are one of the most prolific teams in the league. They are currently 7th in made threes per game at 13.6. Overall, they are shooting 36% from beyond the arc.

When it comes to two-point shooting, the Cavaliers are 10th in the league at 56%. For the season, they are shooting 47% from the field, which is 14th in the NBA.

In the current season, the Cavaliers defense has excelled, sitting 5th in the NBA by allowing 109.3 points per game. Inside the arc, the Cavaliers defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 52.0% and 36.0% from three-point territory.

Will the Heat Come Through as Home Favorites?

Miami’s O/U record for the season is 25-45, and their games have averaged 218.6 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 203 points.

The Heat are 12-21 against the spread at home this season, and they have failed to cover the spread in their last five games at home. As the favorite, they are 16-20 ATS this season, and they have gone 27-12 as the favorite straight-up.

In their last game, the Heat lost to the Pelicans by a score of 111-88. The O/U line for that game was 207.5 points, and Miami was favored by 3 points going into the game.

In the Eastern Conference standings, the Heat are currently in 7th place with a record of 38-32. In the Southeast Division, they are in 2nd place.

On the season, Miami is 32-35 ATS, including a record of 20-14 ATS on the road. As the favorite, they are 16-15 ATS and 16-15 ATS as the underdog.

At home, the Heat are averaging 111.9 points per game, which is 22nd in the league. Overall, they are 27th in scoring at 109.4 points per game. In terms of pace, Miami is 29th at 95.7 possessions per game.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Heat are 12th in the league at 36%. They are also 23rd in field goal percentage and 28th in two-point shooting percentage.

So far this season, Miami has outscored the NBA scoring average in just 35.7% of their games. They have also scored less than their own scoring average in their last nine games.

Not only do the Heat’s overall defensive numbers look good, as they are 4th in the league in points allowed. Miami has also been playing well on defense of late, ranking 2nd in the league over their last three games at 104.3 PPG allowed. Inside the arc, the Heat defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 55.1% and 36.4% from three-point territory.