At 9:00 ET, the Timberwolves (47-21) will host the Nuggets (47-21) in a Western Northwest division matchup. Minnesota is currently on a three game win streak and is 2nd in the Western Conference. Denver is 3rd in the West and is favored by 7 points (-289 moneyline).



The Pick: Minnesota Timberwolves +7

This game will be played at Target Center at 9:00 ET on Tuesday, March 19th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 112-110 in favor of the Timberwolves.
  • Our projections have Anthony Edwards finishing with Anthony Edwards points, 5 rebounds and 5 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Timberwolves finishing with a field goal percentage of 46.6% and knocking down 12 threes.

Can the Nuggets Offense Score Enough on the Road?

Today, the Nuggets are favored by 7 points on the spread. This season, they have been the favorite in 58 of their 68 games and have a record of 43-15 in those games. As the favorite, they have gone 26-30 against the spread, with an average scoring margin of +5.9 points per game.

Denvr’s O/U record for the season is 25-41-2, and the under has hit in three straight games. On average, their games have finished with 224.9 points, and today’s line is set at 212.5.

In their last game, the Nuggets lost to the Mavericks by a score of 107-105. The O/U line for that game was 231.5, giving them an under record of 0-0-0. Denver was favored by 1.5 points in that game, resulting in an ATS loss.

Currently, the Nuggets are 3rd in the Western Conference with a record of 47-21. Against other Western Conference teams, they are 26-15 and 6-5 against division opponents. On the road, the Nuggets are 20-15 compared to 27-6 at home.

So far this season, the Nuggets have been one of the NBA’s most efficient shooting teams, ranking 4th in field goal percentage. However, they have struggled from beyond the arc, ranking just 28th in three-point shooting percentage.

When it comes to scoring, Denver is 15th in the league at 114.7 points per game. Interestingly, they have actually been more prolific on the road (110.7 PPG) compared to at home (118.9 PPG).

Overall, the Nuggets’ offense has been below the NBA scoring average in 51.5% of their games. In terms of pace, Denver is 28th in the league at 96.1 possessions per game.

Coming into today’s game, the Nuggets’ defense is giving up an average of 110.2 points per contest. The Nuggets defense is coming off a game in which they held the Mavericks offense to just 44% shooting. Overall, they gave up 107 points to Dallas.

Can the Timberwolves Offense Score Enough at Home?

Minnesota’s ATS record for the season is 34-33 and they have covered the spread in three straight games. At home, the Timberwolves are 14-17 ATS and have failed to cover in their last five games at home.

On average, Minnesota’s games have finished with 219.9 points per game, which is higher than today’s O/U line of 212.5. The team’s O/U record for the season is 34-34.

The Timberwolves are currently 2nd in the Western Conference with a record of 47-21. In the West, they are 33-11 and 11-2 against division opponents. Minnesota has won three straight games and went 3-0 on their recent road trip.

In their last game, the Timberwolves beat the Jazz by a score of 114-104. The game finished with a combined scoring total of 218 points, which was below the O/U line of 225.5. Minnesota covered the spread as 4.5-point favorites.

At home this season, the Timberwolves are averaging 111.7 points per game, which is 23rd in the NBA. Overall, they are 19th in the league in scoring at 113.3 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage, Minnesota is 10th in the NBA at 48%. They have made an average of 12.5 three-pointers per game, which is 16th in the league.

So far this season, the Timberwolves have outscored the NBA scoring average in 45.6% of their games. In terms of pace, Minnesota is 23rd in the league at 97.2 possessions per game. When it comes to two-point shooting, the Timberwolves are 15th in the NBA at 54%.

When it comes to offensive rebounds, Minnesota is 25th in the league at 9.5 per game. In terms of assists, the Timberwolves are averaging 26.4 per game, which is 16th in the NBA. At the free-throw line, they are 10th in both free throws made and attempted per game.

At present, the Timberwolves’ defense is ranked 1st, allowing 106.6 points per game. In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Timberwolves defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 50.6% while allowing 35.2% from downtown.