It’s a late-night NL West matchup between the Dodgers and Padres, coming to you from the Gocheok Sky Dome in Seoul. First pitch is set for 6:05 PM ET, and you can catch the action on ESPN.

On the mound tonight, Tyler Glasnow gets the start for the Dodgers, while Yu Darvish takes the hill for the Padres. The over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, with the over paying out at -123 compared to +101 for the under.

LOS ANGELES DODGERS VS SAN DIEGO PADRES BETTING PICK

The Pick: OVER 8.5 Runs

This game will be played at Gocheok Sky Dome at 6:05 ET on Wednesday, March 20th.

HOW TO BET THE DODGERS VS PADRES:

  • We have the Dodgers winning by a score of 5 to 4
  • However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Padres to cover
  • As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Dodgers Records & Stats

Despite finishing with the best record in the National League, the Dodgers were unable to advance past the NLDS last season. They were swept by the Diamondbacks in the best-of-five series. Los Angeles’ overall record was 100-62.

When playing at home, the Dodgers went 53-28, while they were 47-34 on the road. In night games, Los Angeles had a record of 74-40 compared to 26-22 in day games. As the favorite, the Dodgers went 88-50 last season.

When looking at the Dodgers’ run line record last season, they finished with a mark of 91-71. This included going 42-39 at home and 49-32 on the road vs. the run line. Overall, they outscored opponents by an average of 1.3 runs per game. In games they covered the run line, their average scoring margin was +4.7 runs per game compared to -3.1 runs per game in games they did not cover the run line.

When looking at the Dodgers’ over/under record from last season, they finished with an O/U record of 88-66. Their average over/under line for the season was 8.9 runs per game. In games where the O/U line was set at 8.5 runs, the over/under record was 23-25. Last season, 62.3% of their games finished with more than 8.5 runs.

Starting for the Dodgers today is right-hander Tyler Glasnow, who is coming off a season in which he made 21 starts and went 10-7. His ERA for the year was 3.52, and he finished with a WHIP of 1.08. Opponents hit just .199 off Glasnow, and his FIP for the season was 2.91. He finished the year with nine quality starts and allowed a total of 13 home runs. For the season, Glasnow averaged 12.15 strikeouts per nine innings and 2.78 walks per nine.

Los Angeles was one of the most potent offenses in the league last season, ranking 2nd in runs per game at 5.5. They were especially dangerous on the road, where they averaged 5.9 runs per game, which was the best mark in the league. Overall, the Dodgers were 2nd in both on-base percentage and slugging percentage, and their .198 isolated power (ISO) was also 2nd in the league.

The Dodgers are returning their top two home run hitters from last season in Mookie Betts and Max Muncy. Betts hit .307 with 39 home runs and 107 RBIs, while Muncy hit 36 home runs and drove in 105 runs. Freddie Freeman is coming back after leading the team in hits last season, hitting .331 with 29 home runs and 102 RBIs. The team’s top off-season addition was Shohei Ohtani, who hit .304 with 44 home runs and 95 RBIs for the Angels last season.

Padres Records & Stats

Despite finishing with a winning record last season, the Padres missed out on the playoffs. San Diego’s overall record was 82-80, which put them in 9th place in the National League and 3rd in the NL West. In divisional play, the Padres went 27-25.

San Diego’s series record last season was 23-24-4. At home, the Padres went 44-37 compared to 38-43 on the road. As the underdog, San Diego went 13-25, and as the home underdog, they were 2-6.

San Diego finished last season with an average scoring margin of +0.6 runs per game. Their overall run line record was 80-82, including going 41-40 at home and 39-42 on the road. In games they covered the run line, their average scoring margin was +4.2 runs per game compared to -2.9 runs per game in games they did not cover the run line. The Padres were the favorite in 76.5% of their games, going 61-63 vs. the run line.

San Diego’s over/under record last season was 66-86, and their games averaged a combined 8.6 runs per contest. When their over/under line was set at 8.5 runs, the over/under record was 20-30. Overall, 53.7% of their games finished with fewer than 8.5 runs.

Coming off a season in which he made 24 starts, Yu Darvish will be looking to improve on his 8-10 record and 4.55 ERA. Last season, Darvish made two appearances against the Dodgers, going 1-0 with a 1.31 ERA. For the season, Darvish allowed 18 home runs and finished with 10 quality starts. His WHIP for the season was 1.30, and he finished with a K/9 of 9.31. Darvish’s FIP for the season was 4.03, and he finished with a BB/9 of 2.84.

San Diego’s offense was 13th in the league in runs per game last season at 4.6. They were 12th in home runs with 205 and 13th in RBIs. The Padres were 8th in strikeouts and 1st in walks. On the road, they averaged 4.8 runs per game compared to 4.5 at home. Their home batting average was .240 (21st) and their road average was .233 (16th).

San Diego’s top returning home run hitter is Manny Machado, who hit 30 home runs and drove in 91 runs last season. Fernando Tatis Jr. hit 25 home runs and batted .257. Xander Bogaerts led the team in hits last season and batted .285. The Padres added Kyle Higashioka in the off-season, who hit 10 home runs for the Yankees last season.