At 8:00 ET, the Dallas Mavericks (-346) will travel to take on the San Antonio Spurs (+274) in a Western Southwest Division matchup. The Mavericks are favored by 8.5 points with the over/under line set at 231.5.

This game will be played at the Frost Bank Center in San Antonio and can be seen on BSSW.


The Pick: Dallas Mavericks -8.5

This game will be played at Frost Bank Center at 8:00 ET on Tuesday, March 19th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 119-105 in favor of the Mavericks.
  • Our projections have Luka Doncic finishing with Luka Doncic points, 9 rebounds and 9 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Mavericks finishing with a field goal percentage of 49.1% and knocking down 16 threes.

Can the Mavericks Pull Out the Win as Road Favorites?

The Mavericks have an overall record of 39-29 this season, which has them in 7th place in the Western Conference. In games against other Western Conference teams, they are 23-19 compared to 16-10 in non-conference games.

Dallas has won their last four games as the favorite and are favored by 8.5 points today. In games where they have been favored, they have a record of 29-11 and are 25-15 against the spread as the favorite.

On the road, the Mavericks are 18-14 straight up and 21-11 against the spread. Their ATS win streak on the road is at three games.

In their last game, the Mavericks beat the Nuggets by a score of 107-105. They were 1.5-point underdogs going into the game, and the O/U line was 231.5.

On average, the Mavericks’ games have finished with a combined scoring total of 236.3 points per game. Today’s O/U line of 231.5 is lower than their season average of 236.1.

The Mavericks’ ATS record for the season is 38-30, and they have covered the spread in their last six games. In their win over the Nuggets, they covered the spread by 2 points.

As a team, the Mavericks are 6th in the league in scoring at 118.8 points per game. They have been a better offensive team on the road (118.1 PPG) compared to at home (119.4 PPG).

One of the strengths of the Mavericks’ offense is their three-point shooting. They are 3rd in the league in made threes per game at 14.6 and are 2nd in three-point attempts at 39.6 per game. Overall, they are 13th in three-point shooting percentage at 37%.

When it comes to two-point shooting, the Mavericks are 4th in the league at 57%. In terms of field goal percentage overall, they are 12th at 48%.

So far, the Mavericks’ defense is ranked 22nd in the league at 117.5 points per contest. Inside the arc, the Mavericks defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 55.4% and 36.9% from three-point territory.

Is A Home Victory Likely for Underdog San Antonio?

San Antonio’s ATS record this season is 34-34, and they have covered the spread in their last two road games. At home, they are 16-16 ATS compared to 18-18 on the road.

As the underdog, the Spurs have gone 29-33 ATS this season. Today, they are getting 8.5 points and have gone 3-3 as the underdog. In their games as the underdog, they have an ATS scoring differential of -9.4 points per game.

In their win over the Nets, the Spurs were favored by 2 points and won by a score of 122-115. The O/U line for that game was 218 points. This season, the average scoring line in Spurs games is 232.1 points.

San Antonio’s O/U record for the season is 34-33-1, and 36 of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s line of 231.5. In games with higher O/U lines, they have a record of 18-17-1.

The Spurs are currently 15th in the Western Conference with a record of 15-53. In the Southwest Division, they are in 5th place. In non-conference games, they are 6-22 and 9-31 against Western Conference opponents.

At home, the Spurs are averaging 114.3 points per game, which is 18th in the league. Overall, they are 21st in scoring at 112.4 points per game. San Antonio’s scoring has been below the NBA average in 52.9% of their games.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Spurs are 28th in the league at 34%. On average, they are making 12.6 threes per game, which is 15th in the NBA.

San Antonio has been efficient inside the arc, making 53% of their two-point attempts. In terms of field goal percentage, the Spurs are 24th in the league at 46%.

Facing Dallas, the Spurs aims for a better defensive performance, given their current average of 119.8 points allowed per game (25th). Inside the arc, the Spurs defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 56.0% and 37.7% from three-point territory.