At 8:30 ET, the Dallas Mavericks (24-18) will host the Boston Celtics (33-10) in a non-conference matchup. The Celtics are currently favored by 3 points and have a moneyline of -149.
This game will be played at the American Airlines Center in Dallas and can be seen on NBCS. The Celtics are 1st in the Eastern Conference, while the Mavericks are 6th in the Western Conference.
BOSTON CELTICS VS DALLAS MAVERICKS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Dallas Mavericks +3
This game will be played at American Airlines Center at 8:30 ET on Monday, January 22nd.
WHY BET THE DALLAS MAVERICKS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 116-114 in favor of the Celtics.
- Our projections have Jayson Tatum finishing with Jayson Tatum points, 8 rebounds and 4 assists.
- From the field, we have the Celtics finishing with a field goal percentage of 48.2% and knocking down 14 threes.
Will Boston Find a Way to Win on the Road?
In their games this season, the Celtics have had an average over/under line of 230.7, which is lower than today’s line of 240.5. The team’s games have averaged 231 points per game.
Boston has hit the under in four straight games, including their most recent game against the Rockets. The O/U line for that game was 226.5, and the teams combined for 223 points.
Against the spread, the Celtics are 20-21 for the season, and they have failed to cover in their last two games. On the road, their ATS record is 8-13 compared to 12-8 at home.
The Celtics are 33-10 overall this season, which is the best record in the Eastern Conference. In their last game, they beat the Rockets by a score of 116-107. Boston was favored by 12 points in that game.
For the season, the Celtics have been favored in 31 of their 43 games. Their ATS record as the favorite is 18-20, and they are favored by 3 points today. As the favorite, they have gone 31-9 straight-up.
Heading into their matchup against the Mavericks, the Celtics are one of the top scoring teams in the league, averaging 120.3 points per game (4th). However, their scoring numbers drop slightly on the road, where they average 117.9 points per game (7th).
So far this season, the Celtics have scored below the NBA scoring average in 30.2% of their games. In terms of pace, Boston is 17th in the league at 98.7 possessions per game.
When it comes to shooting, the Celtics are 15th in field goal percentage (47%) and have the 6th-best true shooting percentage. They are also one of the best three-point shooting teams in the league, leading the NBA in both three-point makes (16.2) and attempts (42.7) per game.
Not only do the Celtics’ overall defensive numbers look good, as they are 4th in the league in points allowed. Boston has also been playing well on defense of late, ranking 9th in the league over their last three games at 102.3 PPG allowed. Most recently, the Celtics’ defense put together a solid performance, giving up just 107 points to the Rockets.
Will the Mavericks Make it Happen at Home?
Dallas is 24-18 on the season and is currently 6th in the Western Conference standings. In the Southwest Division, they are in 2nd place.
The Mavericks lost their last game to the Lakers by a score of 127-110. The O/U line for that game was 245 points. The Mavs were 3-point underdogs going into the game.
On the season, the Mavericks have an average scoring differential of +4.5 points per game at home. Against the spread at home, they are 11-11 compared to 12-8 on the road.
As underdogs this season, the Mavericks are 7-10 straight-up and 8-9 against the spread. Today, they are 3-point underdogs and have an ATS record of 23-19.
In their games this season, the Mavericks have averaged 235.9 points per game, which is lower than today’s O/U line of 240.5. Their O/U record for the season is 24-18.
The Mavericks are coming off a loss to the Lakers, and they did not cover the spread. In the game, the teams combined for 237 points, which was below the O/U line of 245.
When playing at home, the Mavericks have been the 7th highest scoring team in the NBA, averaging 120.7 points per game. Overall, they are 7th in the league with an average of 118.5 points per game. In terms of pace, Dallas is 11th in the NBA.
One of the strengths of the Mavericks’ offense has been their three-point shooting. They are 2nd in the NBA in both three-point attempts and makes. However, their three-point shooting percentage is 15th in the league at 36%. In terms of field goal percentage, Dallas is 17th in the NBA.
Overall, the Mavericks have been an above-average offensive team this season. They are 12th in true shooting percentage and 17th in free throw attempts. In terms of assists, Dallas is 23rd in the NBA.
At present, the Mavericks’ defense is ranked 20th, allowing 117.4 points per game. The Dallas defense has allowed opponents to shoot 36.5% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 48.2% of their field goal attempts vs. Dallas.