At 8:30 ET, the Nuggets (-455) will travel to Austin to take on the Spurs (+351) in a Western Conference matchup. Denver is currently favored by 9.5 points, and the over/under is set at 221.5.

San Antonio (14-52) has lost two straight, while Denver (46-20) has won four in a row. The Nuggets are second in the Western Conference, while the Spurs are 15th.

DENVER NUGGETS VS SAN ANTONIO SPURS BETTING PICK

The Pick: San Antonio Spurs +9.5

This game will be played at Moody Center at 8:30 ET on Friday, March 15th.

WHY BET THE SAN ANTONIO SPURS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 111-105 in favor of the Nuggets.
  • Our projections have Nikola Jokic finishing with Nikola Jokic points, 12 rebounds and 9 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Nuggets finishing with a field goal percentage of 49.0% and knocking down 12 threes.

Is It the Nuggets Game to Lose on the Road?

Denver is 30-34 against the spread this season and has covered in four straight road games. Today, they are favored by 9.5 points and have gone 25-29 ATS as the favorite.

The Nuggets have won four straight games on the road and have a road record of 19-14. On average, they are outscoring their opponents by 0.4 points per game on the road.

In the Western Conference, the Nuggets are in 2nd place with a record of 46-20. Against other Western Conference teams, they are 25-14 and 6-5 against teams in their division. In non-conference games, they are 21-6.

Denver’s O/U record for the season is 25-39-2, and their games have averaged 225.1 points per game. Today’s O/U line is 221.5, which is lower than their season average of 227.3.

In their last game, the Nuggets beat the Heat by a score of 100-88. They were favored by 3.5 points going into the game and covered the spread. The O/U line for that game was 217.

Heading into their matchup with the Spurs, the Nuggets are one of the best shooting teams in the NBA, ranking fourth in field goal percentage at 49%. However, they have struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 36% of their three-point attempts.

In terms of scoring, Denver is averaging 114.8 points per game, which is 15th in the league. On the road, they have scored 110.6 points per game compared to 118.9 at home.

When it comes to pace, the Nuggets are 28th in the NBA at 96.2 possessions per game. In terms of assists, they are fourth in the league with 29.2 per contest.

On defense, the Nuggets come into the game ranked 7th in the league in points allowed at 110.3 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 109.3 points per contest (29th). In the terms of takeaways, Nuggets are causing 11.8 turnovers per game, ranking 5th in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 11th in rejections, averaging 5.5 blocked shots each game.

Can San Antonio Pull Out the Win as Home Underdogs?

San Antonio’s O/U record for the season is 33-32-1, and their last two games have gone under the posted totals. Today’s O/U line is 221.5, and the Spurs have played to an average of 232.2 points per game this season.

In the Western Conference, the Spurs are currently in 15th place with a record of 14-52. In the Southwest Division, they are in 5th place (1-11 vs. division opponents).

Against the spread, the Spurs are 33-33 for the season and have covered the spread in their last two road games. At home, they are 15-15 ATS, and 29 of their 45 games as underdogs have finished with a lower scoring margin than today’s line of -9.5.

In their last game, the Spurs lost to the Rockets by a score of 103-101. They were 3.5-point underdogs going into the game, and the O/U line was 221.5.

Heading into their matchup with the Nuggets, the Spurs are 22nd in the NBA in scoring at 112.3 points per game. At home, they are averaging 114.3 points per game.

San Antonio’s offense is 3rd in the league in pace at 101 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 24th in the NBA.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Spurs are 15th in made threes per game but just 27th in three-point shooting percentage. Overall, they are 19th in two-point shooting percentage.

On defense, the Spurs come into the game ranked 25th in the league in points allowed at 119.9 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 109.3 points per contest (14th). San Antonio’s defense is currently forcing 14.3 turnovers per game, which is 27th in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 3rd in blocked shots, with an average of 6.3 rejections per game.