At 9:40 PM from PETCO Park in San Diego, we have an NL matchup between the Reds and Padres. Heading into Monday’s game, the Reds are 15-13 compared to the Padres at 14-17. Matt Waldron is starting for the Padres, and he is facing off against Nick Lodolo for the Reds.

Cincinnati is the slight favorite on the money line, and the over/under line is at 8 runs. If you’re looking to watch this game on TV, it is being carried by BSOH.

SAN DIEGO PADRES VS CINCINNATI REDS BETTING PICK

The Pick: San Diego Padres Moneyline -110

This game will be played at PETCO Park at 9:40 ET on Monday, April 29th.

HOW TO BET THE REDS VS PADRES:

  • We have the Padres winning by a score of 6 to 5
  • If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Padres to cover
  • As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Reds Records & Stats

The Reds wrapped up their series vs. the Rangers with a 4-3 loss on the road. Cincinnati was the +112 underdog going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Reds, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Rangers scored four times in the bottom of the first.

Cincinnati started Andrew Abbott, and he took the loss, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up four earned runs on six hits. The Reds’ offense scored their other two runs in the 6th inning, but it wasn’t enough to complete the comeback. Jonathan India went 2/4 with a run scored and a stolen base.

Cincinnati is 15-13 overall heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Padres. The Reds are 2.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central and are 1-2 in divisional games this year. The Reds dropped the final game of their series vs. the Rangers and are 4-4-1 in series this year.

This season, the Reds have been really good as the favorite, going 10-4, including 3-0 as the favorite on the road. Cincinnati has won seven straight games as the favorite. As for their record as the underdog, it is just 5-9 this season. At home, the Reds are 9-7 compared to 6-6 on the road.

The Cincinnati Reds have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 16-12 overall. They have been especially profitable on the road, where they are 8-4 against the run line. The Reds have covered the run line in their last three road games and have covered in seven straight games when they are favored. Cincinnati’s average run margin in winning games is +4.3, while it is -3.4 in losses.

Today’s over/under line of 8 runs for the Cincinnati Reds’ game against the San Diego Padres is the lowest of the season for the Reds. Cincinnati has played 18 games this year with an over/under line higher than 8 runs, and their games have averaged 9.2 runs per game. The Reds have a 15-12 over/under record this season, and their games have averaged 9 runs per game.

Heading into his start against the Padres, Nick Lodolo has been dominant in his first two outings of the season. He picked up a win in his first start of the year, going 6 1/3 innings and striking out 6. Then, in his last outing, he went 5 innings and struck out 10 batters while only giving up 1 hit.

Elly De La Cruz has been swinging a hot bat for the Reds of late, going 9/31 in his last 10 games with two homers and seven RBIs. For the season, he is batting .281 with a team-leading seven homers. Spencer Steer is also among the league leaders in RBIs, as his 20 RBIs are 8th in the league. He is also 3rd on the team with three homers.

As a team, the Reds are averaging 5 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. They are also among the league leaders in home runs, but are batting just .219 as a team. Cincinnati’s team on-base percentage is just 20th in the league, but they do have the 6th fewest strikeouts in the league.

Padres Records & Stats

The Padres will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Phillies with an 8-6 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 7th inning before the Phillies scored three runs in the top of the 7th. San Diego was the -146 favorite at home going into the game.

Michael King had a rough outing, giving up six earned runs on six hits and issuing three walks. The Padres also wasted a big game from Jake Cronenworth, who homered in the 2nd inning, going 2/4.

San Diego is looking to get back to .500 today, as they are currently 14-17 overall and have dropped four straight games. The Padres lost the final three games of their series vs. the Phillies and dropped the series opener vs. the Reds. In the NL West, they are 4.5 games behind the Dodgers for the division lead.

At home, the Padres are just 6-11 this season and 8-6 on the road. So far, they have really struggled as the underdog at home, going 0-4 this year. As the underdog overall, the Padres are 5-8 and an even 9-9 as the favorite. San Diego’s overall series record is 4-5-2 and they have dropped two straight series at home.

When betting the run line on the Padres, it’s been more profitable to take them on the road this season. San Diego is 11-3 against the run line on the road, compared to just 4-13 at home. The Padres’ average scoring margin at home is -1.0 runs per game, while they are outscoring opponents by an average of 1.0 run per game on the road. They are also 8-5 against the run line as underdogs this season.

San Diego’s over/under record for the season is 16-14, and the average line for their games has been 8 runs. When the line has been set at 8 runs, the over/under record is 3-4-1. The combined run average for their games this season is 9.7 runs per game, and 45.2% of their games have had over/under lines set above 8 runs.

Coming into today’s start, Matt Waldron has been solid in his first 3 outings of the season. He started the year with a no-decision against the Giants, then took a loss vs. the Blue Jays, and most recently picked up a win vs. the Rockies. In that win, he went 6 innings, giving up just 1 earned run and striking out 5. He has yet to allow a home run this season.

San Diego’s offense has been one of the top lineups in the league this season, averaging 4.8 runs per game and batting a collective .253, which is the 7th best mark in the league. The Padres have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per game. Currently, they are 5th in the league in home runs and have the 9th best on-base percentage in the league.

Jurickson Profar has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 8/26 in his last eight games with one home run and five RBIs. He is also on a five-game hitting streak. Jake Cronenworth has also been a key run producer for the Padres, as he is 2nd on the team in RBIs and has four homers this season.