Just because the NASCAR Cup series is in its playoffs doesn’t mean you can discount Just because the NASCAR Cup series is in its playoffs doesn’t mean you can discount non-playoff drivers, especially when a road course is involved.
NASCAR’s road car experts stepped into the spotlight at Charlotte’s Roval, with Kaulig Racing’s road course expert A.J. Allmendinger (+20000) landing on Victory Lane, followed by William Byron, Kyle Busch (+1200), Ty Gibbs (+2800), and Joey Logano (+3300) completing the top five.
Despite the top-five finish, Busch was one of four drivers who were eliminated from the Cup Series Playoffs at the Roval, as the Round of Eight opens with NASCAR’s second trip to Las Vegas, with Chevrolet and Toyota expected to dominate.
William Byron dominated the Spring Las Vegas race for his first win of the season. Byron was followed to Victory Lane by teammates Kyle Larson and Alex Bowman (+3300), making it an all-Hendrick Motorsports top-three, with 23XI Racing’s Bubba Wallace (+2000) and Joe Gibbs Racing’s Christopher Bell (+1100) in fifth.
Bangthebook reviews the stats, trends, and the Spring Las Vegas Race to find our pick to win the NASCAR Cup Series South Point 400.
Henrick Motorsports Playoff Duo Atop Vegas’ Favorites
William Byron (+550) rightfully sits atop the NASCAR Cup Series Championship and is your best bet to win the 2023 Championship. Whether there are chicanes on the track or it’s an oval configuration, Byron has been competitive in all circuit configurations, including his win at Las Vegas’ Spring race.
Byron will be fighting for the win, having three consecutive top-two finishes – including winning at Texas – and five top-ten finishes in six playoff races. Moreover, Byron has three top-ten finishes in his last seven races at Las Vegas.
Kyle Larson (+450) will be looking to battle his teammate for the win in Las Vegas again, having won the Spring race in 2021 and having six top-five and ten top-ten finishes in 14 career races at Las Vegas Motor Speedway.
However, Larson needs a change in his recent performances, where he followed opening the playoffs with three top-four finishes with three consecutive finishes outside the top ten.
The Toyotas in Contention
First, we’re paying no attention to Martin Truex Jr. (+750 at BetOnline), whose impressive season has unraveled with seven consecutive finishes outside the top 15.
As for Truex’s Joe Gibbs Racing teammates, both should be in the top ten and fighting for top-five finishes and the race win. However, we’re not favoring Christopher Bell to win at Vegas, but a second top-five finish is likely for Bell.
Denny Hamlin (+550) is nine points behind William Byron for the Cup Series lead and is the most likely driver to follow Byron into the Round of Four and the Cup Series Championship race.
Hamlin was very strong throughout the first six races of the Playoffs, with four top-five finishes – including winning at Bristol – and two stage wins at Darlington, but is coming off a 37th-place finish on Charlotte’s Roval.
23XI Racing’s Tyler Reddick finished 15th at the Spring Las Vegas Race, with three top-ten finishes in seven career races at Vegas, which includes taking pole position for the 2022 Fall Las Vegas race.
While he took pole position, the stage one win, and finished sixth at Charlotte’s Roval, we’re looking no further than the Fall playoff race at Kansas – another 1.5 intermediate track – where Reddick won his way into the Round of 12 for evidence that Reddick could land on Victory Lane in Vegas.
BangtheBook’s NASCAR Cup Series South Point 400 Betting Pick
While we’re very high on Byron and Reddick’s chances to win at Las Vegas, Bangthebook is taking Hendrick Motorsports’ Kyle Larson to win the South Point 400 and first race in the NASCAR Cup Series Round of Eight.