The Denver Nuggets (-115) are 1-point favorites on the road against the Golden State Warriors (-105) in a Western Conference matchup. The over/under line for this game is 232.5 points.

Denver comes into this game with a record of 38-19 and is currently on a two-game winning streak. The Warriors are 29-26 and have won three straight games.


The Pick: Golden State Warriors +1

This game will be played at Chase Center at 7:00 ET on Sunday, February 25th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 130-123 in favor of the Warriors.
  • Our projections have Stephen Curry finishing with Stephen Curry points, 5 rebounds and 5 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Warriors finishing with a field goal percentage of 48.0% and knocking down 16 threes.

Do the Nuggets Have a Shot at a Win at San Francisco?

Denver is 38-19 this season and has won two straight games. In the Western Conference, they are currently in 4th place and 3rd in the Northwest Division.

The Nuggets covered the spread in their last game, winning by a score of 127-112 vs. the Trail Blazers. They were favored by 8.5 points going into the game.

This season, Denver is 24-31 against the spread and 11-18 ATS on the road. As the favorite, they are 21-26 ATS compared to 2-6 ATS as the underdog.

On the season, the Nuggets are 21-35-1 on the over/under, and the over has hit in their last two games. Today’s O/U line is set at 232.5, and their games have averaged 225.3 points per game.

Against the Western Conference, the Nuggets are 21-13 compared to 17-6 in non-conference games. On the road, they are 16-14.

This season, the Nuggets are one of the best shooting teams in the NBA, ranking 6th in field goal percentage at 49%. However, their three-point shooting has been below average, hitting just 36% of their attempts (14th).

On average, the Nuggets are scoring 114.5 points per game, which is 16th in the league. In terms of pace, Denver is 29th at 96.1 possessions per game.

When it comes to scoring on the road, the Nuggets are averaging 110.3 points per game compared to 119.1 at home. Overall, they have outscored the NBA scoring average in 45.6% of their games.

Coming into the game, the Nuggets defense has held opposing team’s to fewer points than the league average in 28.1% of their games. Currently, they are 7th in the NBA at 110.8 points per game allowed. Opponents are hitting 52.7% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 36.3% of their three-point attempts.

Can the Warriors Pull the Upset at Home?

Golden State has won three straight games and will look to extend that streak as 1-point underdogs against the Nuggets. The Warriors are currently 10th in the Western Conference with a record of 29-26.

In non-conference games, the Warriors are 13-6 compared to 16-20 against Western Conference opponents. Against the spread, they are 17-8 on the road and 13-16 at home.

As underdogs, the Warriors have a straight-up record of 6-15 and 14-6 against the spread. Their average scoring differential as the underdog is -2.2 points per game.

Golden State’s O/U record for the season is 29-25-1, and their last two games have finished below the betting line. On average, their games have finished with 236.9 points.

The Warriors’ most recent win came against the Hornets, with Golden State winning by a score of 97-84. They were favored by 12.5 points in that game and covered the spread.

At home, the Warriors are averaging 118 points per game, which is 10th in the NBA. Overall, they are 6th in scoring at 119.5 points per game. In terms of pace, Golden State is 9th in the NBA at 100.2 possessions per game.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Warriors are 2nd in the league in made threes at 15.1 per game. They are also 4th in three-point attempts. Overall, Golden State is shooting 37% from beyond the arc.

Inside the arc, the Warriors are 17th in two-point shooting percentage at 54%. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 16th in the NBA at 47%. When it comes to getting to the free-throw line, Golden State is 19th in free throw attempts and 18th in made free throws.

Coming into today’s game, the Warriors’ defense is giving up an average of 117.4 points per contest. Golden State struggled on the boards in their last game vs. the Hornets, giving up 13. For the game, Charlotte scored 84 points in the game.