Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Mastodons and Panthers. The game is starting at 3:00 ET on ESPN+, and it’s hosted by the Panthers at UW-Milwaukee Panther Arena in Milwaukee, WI. Get ready to place your bets! The over/under for this Horizon League conference contest is set at 157.5 points, with Milwaukee being favored by -1 at home against Purdue Fort Wayne.


The Pick: Milwaukee Panthers -1

This game will be played at UW-Milwaukee Panther Arena at 3:00 ET on Sunday, February 25th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 78-67 in favor of the Panthers.
  • Not only will Milwaukee pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -1.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 157.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Can Purdue Fort Wayne Deliver Being Underdogs on the Road?

With a record of 18-10, Purdue Fort Wayne has gone 9-8 in Horizon League play. The Mastodons have won their last two games and have gone 9-2 in non-conference action. On the road, they have been strong, going 8-5 with an average scoring margin of +6.0 points per game.

As the underdog, Purdue Fort Wayne has gone 5-5, and they have gone 4-1 in their last five road games. So far, they have been the underdog 10 times this season, and they have gone 5-5 in those games.

As the underdog this season, Purdue Fort Wayne has gone 5-4-1 against the spread. On the road, their ATS mark is 8-4-1, including a perfect 3-0 mark in their last three road games. Overall, the Mastodons have an ATS record of 14-11-1.

So far this season, the over/under record for Purdue Fort Wayne games is 15-11. On average, their games have finished with 151.2 points compared to an average over/under line of 151.1, resulting in a margin of +0.1 points. Today’s over/under line of 157.5 is higher than the over/under line in 23 of their games this season. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 143 points.

Purdue Fort Wayne’s offense is coming off a good game, putting up 85 points vs. Green Bay. Overall, they hit 50.8% of their shots from the field and went 9/10 from the free-throw line. In terms of offense, the Mastodons have a season-long field goal percentage of 47%, putting them 68th in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 74th in percentage and 27th in three-pointers made.

On the defensive side, Purdue Fort Wayne is currently hovering around the NCAA’s average for points allowed, conceding an average of 70.7 points per game. In their previous game vs. Green Bay, the Phoenix finished with a field goal percentage of 35% and a total of 59 points vs. Purdue Fort Wayne.

Will Milwaukee Find a Way to Win at Home?

After a 84-80 loss to Youngstown State, the Milwaukee Panthers will look to get back on track against Purdue Fort Wayne. Milwaukee has gone 8-4 at home this season, and they are favored by one point in this game.

So far this season, the Panthers have gone 7-5 when favored and 5-9 when they are the underdog. In their last 10 games at home, they have gone 7-3.

As the favorite, Milwaukee has gone just 4-8 against the spread this season. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Panthers are just 4-6 vs. the spread. At home, Milwaukee has an ATS record of 5-7 this year and is 5-5 vs. the spread in their last 10 home games.

This season, the over/under record for Milwaukee games is 14-10-2. So far, the average scoring total in their games is 157.1 points. Today’s over/under line of 157.5 is similar to the average OU line in their games this year (154.7). In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total is 148 points.

In their recent game, the Panthers’ offense concluded with 80 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 78 points per contest. The team’s top scorer is BJ Freeman, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 19.2, while Erik Pratt also carries a PPG average of 12.4 into the game.

The Panthers’ defense is presently ranked 313rd nationally, allowing an average of 78.8 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Milwaukee’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 41.2% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 32.9% this season.