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The Knicks have a chance to close out this first-round series on Tuesday night when they host the 76ers at 7:00 PM from Madison Square Garden. Heading into game five, the Knicks lead the series 3-1 and are the 4-point favorites at home. The over/under line is sitting at 202.5 points, and the money line odds for a Knicks win are -173. A 76ers win is paying out at +142. You can watch this game on TNT.

PHILADELPHIA 76ERS VS NEW YORK KNICKS BETTING PICK

The Pick: New York Knicks -4

This game will be played at Madison Square Garden at 7:00 ET on Tuesday, April 30th.

WHY BET THE NEW YORK KNICKS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 113-108 in favor of the Knicks.
  • Our projections have Jalen Brunson finishing with Jalen Brunson points, 4 rebounds and 7 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Knicks finishing with a field goal percentage of 47.3% and knocking down 14 threes.

The Knicks picked up a 97-92 win over the 76ers in the most recent game of this series. New York was down by 10 heading into the second quarter, but they outscored the 76ers 30-22 in the 2nd to cut the lead to 5 at halftime. Heading into the game, the 76ers were 5.5-point favorites, but the Knicks covered the spread. The game also fell 20 points short of the over/under line of 209.

Jalen Brunson had a huge game for the Knicks, putting up 47 points and 10 assists. As a team, the Knicks shot just 25.9% from three and made just seven threes. Joel Embiid had 27 points for the 76ers and also added 10 rebounds. Tyrese Maxey was the 76ers' second-leading scorer with 23 points.

Will Philadelphia Find a Way to Win on the Road?

Today, the 76ers are 9-24 as the underdog and are currently on a two-game losing streak against the spread as the underdog. On average, they have been outscored by 5.6 points per game as the underdog.

Philly's ATS record for the season is 51-35, and they are 26-17 ATS on the road. As the underdog, their road ATS record is 16-16.

This season, the 76ers have an O/U record of 45-42, and 87 of their games have had higher over/under lines than today's line of 202.5. In their games this year, the average combined scoring is 225.3 points.

In their last game against the Knicks, the 76ers lost 97-92. They were favored by 5.5 points going into the game and finished with an ATS loss. The O/U line for that game was 209 points.

Philly is currently 7th in the Eastern Conference with a record of 47-35. Against the East, they are 31-21 and 8-8 in divisional games. On the road, they are 22-21 compared to 27-17 at home.

Joel Embiid is averaging 32.6 points per game over his last five games, to go along with 10.2 rebounds and 5.4 assists. Across his last five games, Tyrese Maxey has averaged 27 points and 6.6 assists. Looking at their season-long numbers, Embiid is averaging 34.7 points, 11 rebounds, and 5.6 assists, while Maxey is averaging 25.9 points per game.

Philadelphia is averaging 114.6 points per game this season, which is 15th in the league. Their scoring production on the road is 113.2 points per contest. The team's pace of 97.3 possessions per game is 20th in the NBA. The 76ers' field goal percentage of 46% is 24th in the league.

So far this season, the 76ers have been one of the better defensive teams in the NBA, ranking 9th in points allowed at 111.2 per game. On the road, they have been even better, giving up just 112.3 points per contest, which is 10th in the league.

Overall, Philadelphia has done a good job of defending the three-point line, allowing opponents to shoot just 35.4% from beyond the arc, which is 6th in the NBA. In terms of steals, the 76ers have been one of the best teams in the league, ranking 3rd at 8.5 per game.

Over their last five games, the 76ers have been even better defensively, giving up just 106 points per game. During that stretch, they have been particularly good at defending two-point attempts, allowing opponents to shoot just 46% from inside the arc.

Will the Knicks Secure A Victory as Home Favorites?

Today, the Knicks are favored by 4 points at home against the 76ers. This season, New York has gone 38-11 as the favorite and has won their last five games as the favorite.

Looking at their ATS record, the Knicks are 47-38 for the season and 23-20 ATS at home. Their straight-up home record is 29-14, and they have won five straight games at home.

In terms of their O/U record, the Knicks are 38-47-1 for the season. Today's O/U line of 202.5 is lower than the average of 221.2 in their games this season. In fact, all of their games have had higher over/under lines than 202.5.

The Knicks are currently 2nd in the Eastern Conference with a record of 50-32. In non-conference games, they are 15-15 compared to 35-17 against the East.

New York's last game was also against the 76ers, and they won 97-92 as 5.5-point underdogs. The game finished with a combined scoring total of 189, which was well below the O/U line of 209.

Jalen Brunson has been carrying the Knicks offense of late, averaging 34.4 points per game in his last five games. This has come while shooting 41.8% from the field. Over this stretch, he is also averaging 8.6 assists and 5.8 rebounds. For the season, he is averaging 28.7 points per game. Josh Hart is averaging 15.8 points and 12.2 rebounds in his last five games.

New York is averaging 112.8 points per game this season, which is 19th in the league. They have been a little worse at home, with an average of 111 points per contest. The Knicks are last in the league in pace, averaging just 94.8 possessions per game. The team's three-point shooting percentage of 36% is 12th in the NBA.

When it comes to defense, the Knicks have been one of the best units in the league this season, ranking 4th in points allowed per game at 108.1. They have also been tough to score on at home, giving up just 105.1 points per contest, which is 3rd in the NBA.

One of the reasons opponents have struggled to score against the Knicks is their ability to defend the three-point line. On the season, New York is 11th in three-point percentage allowed at 36.2%. In terms of made threes allowed, they are 11th at 12.5 per game.

Over their last five games, the Knicks are 10th in field goal percentage allowed at 45.2%. During this stretch, opponents have shot just 34.4% from beyond the arc.