The No. 25 Horned Frogs (-12) are ready to welcome their conference nemesis West Virginia Mountaineers to Amon G. Carter Stadium. The opening kickoff for this showdown is scheduled for 4:15 p.m. ET and ESPN has the TV rights.
West Virginia at No. 25 TCU Betting Odds 11/29/2019
The spread for this Big 12 game is sitting at 12 points in favor of TCU. The Mountaineers are currently being given +350 moneyline odds while the Horned Frogs are -500. This Big 12 matchup should offer multiple in-game betting possibilities. The over/under has been set at 45.5 points.
This game’s line opened at -12, while the total hasn’t moved after being initially set at 45.5.
The Mountaineers are 4-7 straight up (SU), including 2-6 SU against Big 12 opponents. The Horned Frogs are 5-6 SU overall and are also 3-5 SU in conference play. The Mountaineers are 4-5-2 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 3.2 units this season. They’ve been a good under bet and have recorded an Over-Under mark of 4-7.
The hapless Horned Frogs have lost 5.3 units in 2019. The team is 4-7 ATS and has an O/U record of 7-4.
The Mountaineers dropped one to Oklahoma State 20-13 in a contest where the D did its part in the loss, keeping the Cowboys to just 196 passing yards and 89 yards on the ground. Chuba Hubbard had a good day for the Cowboys in that one with 106 rushing yards on 26 attempts, along with 88 yards on seven catches. Offensively, Jarret Doege completed 28-of-38 passes for 307 yards and one touchdown. As a team, the Mountaineers rushed for just 26 yards in the loss.
Back on November 23, Oklahoma knocked off this TCU crew by a score of 28-24. The Horned Frogs defensive unit allowed the Sooners to rush for 366 yards on 64 attempts, including two rush TDs. Jalen Hurts torched the defense, recording 173 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 28 attempts for Oklahoma. For TCU, Max Duggan completed seven-of-21 passes for 65 yards and one interception. Duggan (92 rushing yards on 12 attempts, one TD) mounted the ground game in the defeat while Te’Vailance Hunt (three receptions, 34 yards) and Olonilua (one catch, -3 yards) led all TCU pass-catchers.
West Virginia has run the ball on 42.3 percent of its offensive possessions this year while TCU has an overall rush percentage of 57.1 percent. The Mountaineers have produced 72 rush yards/game (including 70 per game against Big 12 opponents) and have seven scores via handoffs this year. The Horned Frogs are logging 209 rush yards per contest (189 in conference) and have 22 total rushing TDs.
It seems like the Mountaineers should hold an edge when it comes to quarterback protection. Their offensive line has yielded just 29 sacks while the D-line registered 28 sacks. The Horned Frogs offensive line has given up 16 sacks and their defense has forced only 35 sacks.
The Mountaineers have logged 257 yards per contest in the air overall (269 per game versus conference opposition) and have 19 passing TDs so far. The Horned Frogs have put up 209 pass yards per game (219.1 against Big 12 foes) and have 15 total pass scores.
West Virginia has allowed opponents to run for an average of 160 yards and throw for 249 yards per game. TCU has been a bit better than that, giving up 141.9 yards per game on the ground and 203.5 to opponents in the air. The Horned Frogs are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.62 to opposing QBs, while the Mountaineers have given up a 7.26 ANY/A.
Doege has put up 426 passing yards this year, and has connected on 39-of-55 attempts with two passing touchdowns and has yet to throw an interception. Doege’s got a 7.69 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 8.01 over the last two games.
George Campbell (377 receiving yards, five receiving touchdowns on the year), Leddie Brown (258 rush yards, one rush TD, 92 receiving yards) and Ali Jennings (155 receiving yards, one TD) have all played key roles recently.
Max Duggan has accounted for 1,610 yards, 13 TDs and eight INTs for TCU. His ANY/A sits at a less-than-stellar 4.94 for the season and 5.15 over his past two games.
Similar to the Mountaineers, expect a balanced attack offensively from TCU this Friday. Max Duggan, Taye Barber and Darius Anderson have combined for 443 total yards and two touchdowns over the last two outings.
These two programs faced off a year ago with the final result being a 47-10 win for West Virginia.
West Virginia Mountaineers at TCU Horned Frogs NCAA Pick
SU Winner – TCU, ATS Winner – TCU, O/U – Over
Team Betting Notes
The TCU offense has lost nine fumbles this season while West Virginia has lost five.
The West Virginia defense has 31 sacks on the year while TCU has just 20.
As a team, West Virginia has averaged 2.4 yards per carry across its last three games and 2.2 over its last two.
TCU has averaged 4.2 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.7 over its past two.
In its last three contests, TCU is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
The O/U for West Virginia’s previous game was 56.5. The under cashed in the team’s 20-13 defeat to Oklahoma State.
In its last three matchups, West Virginia is 1-1-1 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.
The O/U for TCU’s last match was 64.5. The under cashed in the 28-24 defeat to Oklahoma.