Getting the start for the Mariners (79-63, 40-34 away) will be Bryce Miller against Zach Eflin for the Rays (87-56, 49-25 home). Today marks game four of their series, with the Rays currently holding the 2-1 lead. Read on to see my best bet for this Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Rays matchup.
SEATTLE MARINERS VS TAMPA BAY RAYS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Tampa Bay Rays -135
This game will be played at Tropicana Field at 1:10 ET on Sunday, September 10th.
WHY BET THE TAMPA BAY RAYS:
- The Rays have been playing well of late, rattling off two contests.
- Tampa Bay is on a three game winning streak when favored on the moneyline.
- Opponents are hitting just .220 against Zach Eflin in his last two starts.
SEATTLE MARINERS TRYING TO CLOSE GAP IN AL WEST
This season, the Mariners are 79-63, putting them 2nd in the AL West. On the road this season, Seattle has been above .500 team at 40-34. Overall, they have gone 24-19-2 in their 45 series.
Bryce Miller takes the mound for Seattle with an 8-4 record this season. He has made 21 appearances, boasting a 3.83 ERA and 8.15 K/9 rate. His FIP stands at 3.81 and his OBP is .274.
Bryce Miller ended his most recent start against the Reds with no decision. Across five innings, he gave up one run on seven hits, though the Mariners ultimately fell 7-6.
As a team, Seattle has scuffled at the plate over their last ten games, with a combined batting average of just .219. Compared to other teams, this is just 24th in that span. When looking at the team’s power numbers, they have a season-long slugging percentage of .420% while going deep a total of 191 times (8th). Overall, the Mariners are 10th in the MLB at 4.8 runs per contest.
Hernández has been a key contributor to the Mariners’ offense this season, boasting a .269 batting average and .464 slugging percentage. In their last ten games, he has been an even more potent force at the plate, leading the team in hits with a .333 batting average.
WILL THE TAMPA BAY RAYS TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?
143 games into the season, the Rays have a record of 87-56, putting them 2nd in the AL East. This mark includes an overall series 27-13-6. At home, they are 49-25 compared to 38-31 on the road.
Zach Eflin is making his 28th start of the season with a 13-8 record. He has a 3.47 ERA and .233 batting average allowed. On the road, he is 3-4 with a 4.54 ERA, while at home he boasts a 10-4 record and 3.93 ERA. Teams have managed to post a .383 slugging percentage against him this season.
Zach Eflin’s last outing saw him surrender five hits in five innings, resulting in three earned runs. Unfortunately, the Phillies were unable to capitalize on his performance as the Rays emerged victorious with an 8-6 win over Boston.
Having gone deep 12 times in their last ten games, the Rays are 9th in that span. At 5.3 runs per game, Tampa Bay is 4th in the league. This figure has come on a team batting average of .258 while hitting a total of 206 home runs (3rd).
When assessing the Rays’ offensive performance this season, Isaac Paredes has been a standout. The third baseman is currently listed as questionable on the injury report, but over Tampa Bay’s last five games he has been a force at the plate. He leads the team in hits and boasts a .255 batting average for the season, with an impressive .355 on-base percentage and slugging percentage.