The Yankees (71-72, 32-36 away) travel to take on the Red Sox (73-70, 37-35 home) in game one of this AL East matchup. Clarke Schmidt is getting the start for the Yankees while Kutter Crawford is starting for the Red Sox. See who I like to pick up the win in today’s New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox showdown at Fenway Park.

NEW YORK YANKEES VS BOSTON RED SOX BETTING PICK

The Pick: Boston Red Sox -129

This game will be played at Fenway Park at 7:10 ET on Monday, September 11th.

WHY BET THE BOSTON RED SOX:

  • The Yankees have gone just 2-3 in their last five games.
  • Over their previous ten games as the underdog, the Yankees are just 4-6 straight-up.
  • The Yankees are just 1-2 in Clarke Schmidt’s last three starts.

NEW YORK YANKEES SEEK TO IMPROVE THEIR ROAD RECORD

On a record of 71-72, the Yankees are 5th in the AL East. At home, they have put together a win percent of 52.0% compared to 47.1% on the road. This season, New York has gone 43-50 against teams who are above .500, and hold an overall series record of 19-19-6.

Clarke Schmidt is making his 30th start of the season, boasting a 9-8 record. His ERA stands at 4.54, with opponents batting .260 against him. On the road, Schmidt is 5-3 with a 6.70 ERA, while at home he has been 4-5 on an ERA of 3.98. Teams have recorded a slugging percentage of .438 against him so far this year.

Clarke Schmidt notched a quality start and a victory in his last game against the Tigers, as the Yankees emerged victorious with a 4-3 scoreline. The right-hander gave up three runs and five hits over 6 1/3 innings of work.

The Yankees have been one of the top power lineups in the league of late, having hit 4 home runs over their last five games. Compared to other clubs, this is 9th best in that span. For the season, they are ranked 4th in home runs and 19th in slugging percentage. Overall, New York is averaging 4.2 runs per game (20th).

The Yankees will be without Jasson Domínguez for today’s matchup, a major setback for the squad as he has been their most productive hitter in the last ten games. During this span, Domínguez has hit .226 and holds a season-long batting average of .258.

WILL THE BOSTON RED SOX TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?

Throughout the season, the Red Sox have taken advantage of playing at home, posting a series record of 12-9 at Fenway Park. Their overall record of 73-70 puts Boston 4th in the AL East. Against the runline, their overall record is 72-71 and 35-37 at home. This year’s Red Sox’s games have an over/under record of 78-62.

Kutter Crawford is making his 28th appearance of the 2023 season with a 6-7 record. His ERA stands at 4.36, while teams have a .229 batting average against him. On the road, he has been impressive with a 6-3 record and 2.85 ERA, however at home he has struggled going 0-4 on an ERA of 7.31. Overall, opponents have a .402 slugging percentage against him this year.

Kutter Crawford’s most recent outing for the Red Sox saw him pitch 3 2/3 innings against the Rays, with five runs allowed on three hits. Despite his efforts, the Red Sox fell 8-6 and Crawford was handed a no-decision.

For the season, the Red Sox’s offense is averaging 5 runs per game. Over their last five games they have swung the bats well, sitting 7th in the league in scoring, with a total of 28 runs. Overall, Boston’s team batting average is .264, putting them 3rd in the MLB.

Rafael Devers has been a key contributor to the Boston offense this season, boasting a .272 batting average and .503 slugging percentage. In the team’s last ten games, Devers has been particularly impressive, leading the Red Sox in hits and batting an impressive .293.