The Red Sox (72-70, 36-35 home) host the Orioles (90-51, 48-25 away) in game three of this AL East series. Getting the start for the Red Sox is Brayan Bello while the Orioles are turning to Grayson Rodriguez. Read on to get my best bet for this Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles matchup.
BALTIMORE ORIOLES VS BOSTON RED SOX BETTING PICK
The Pick: Baltimore Orioles -105
This game will be played at Fenway Park at 1:35 ET on Sunday, September 10th.
WHY BET THE BALTIMORE ORIOLES:
- The Orioles will be taking on a Red Sox club that is just 1-4 over their last five games.
- On the road, the Orioles have picked up seven straight victories.
- Over his last two starts, Grayson Rodriguez has an ERA of just 1.50.
BALTIMORE ORIOLES HAVE BEEN GOOD AGAINST THE AL EAST
This season, the Orioles are 90-51, putting them 1st in the AL East. On the road this season, Baltimore has been above .500 team at 48-25. Overall, they have gone 29-12-3 in their 44 series.
Baltimore is relying on Grayson Rodriguez to continue his strong play, as he has earned victories in back-to-back games. His ERA currently stands at 4.91 and his record is 5-3. Rodriguez has racked up 104 strikeouts over the course of the season, while opponents have a .257 batting average against him and a .436 slugging percentage.
Grayson Rodriguez earned a victory in his last outing, as the team he was pitching for came away with a 6-3 triumph over the Angels. The right-hander allowed two runs and seven hits over six innings of work to secure a quality start.
For the season, the Orioles’ offense is averaging 5.1 runs per game. Over their last five games they have swung the bats well, sitting 2nd in the league in scoring, with a total of 45 runs. Overall, Baltimore’s team batting average is .259, putting them 5th in the MLB.
Austin Hays has been a key contributor to the Orioles’ offense this season, leading the team with 14 home runs. His batting average of .286 is also impressive, and he has hit one home run in their last five games.
WILL THE BOSTON RED SOX TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?
The Red Sox have been struggling at home of late, dropping two straight series at Fenway Park. Boston’s runline record at home is 34-37 and 71-71 overall. Currently, they are 72-70 and 4th in the AL East. The Red Sox have an over/under record of 77-62.
Brayan Bello takes the mound for the Boston Red Sox with an 11-8 record. He has made 24 appearances this season, sporting a 3.61 ERA and 7.42 K/9 rate. His FIP stands at 4.36, and his OBP is .307.
Brayan Bello earned a victory in his last start against the Rays, as the Red Sox won 7-3. The right-hander pitched six innings, allowing three runs and five hits while recording a quality start.
Offensively, Boston is ranked 8th in the league with an average of 5 runs per game. When looking over their last ten matchups, the Red Sox averaged 5.6 runs per contest, which is 8th best in that span. In terms of their power numbers, Boston is 13th in all of baseball, with a total of 168 home runs.
Over the Red Sox’s past five contests, Connor Wong has been a force to be reckoned with, leading the team in home runs with one. He has tallied nine round-trippers this season and is batting .254.