Ryne Nelson will get the start for the Diamondbacks (57-58, 28-30 home) as they host the Padres (55-60, 25-32 away) at Chase Field. The Padres will give the starting nod to Blake Snell. Check out my prediction for game one of this NL West matchup between the San Diego Padres and Arizona Diamondbacks.

SAN DIEGO PADRES VS ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 Runs

This game will be played at Chase Field at 9:40 ET on Friday, August 11th.

WHY BET THE ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS:

  • The Padres are just 4-6 vs. the runline in their last ten road games.
  • San Diego has failed to cover the runline in two straight games when favored to win.
  • In Blake Snell’s 23 starts, the Padres have a record of just 10-13.

CAN THE SAN DIEGO PADRES PULL OUT A WIN AS ROAD FAVORITES?

For the season, the Padres have put together a record of 55-60 and are 4th in the NL West, putting them 13.5 games out of first place. San Diego’s overall series record sits at 14-17-4. On the road, they have gone 25-32 and 30-28 at home.

San Diego’s Blake Snell has posted an 8-8 record and a 2.61 ERA thus far in the 2023 season. When pitching away from home, his ERA stands at 2.70, while it is 3.14 when he takes the mound at Petco Park. The left-hander has also kept opposing hitters to a .190 batting average and 1.30 WHIP, with a slugging percentage of .303 against him.

Blake Snell was unable to secure the win against the Dodgers in his most recent outing, allowing three runs and four hits. Despite this, San Diego was able to come away with the 8-3 victory.

For the season, the Padres’ offense is averaging 4.6 runs per game. Over their last ten games they have swung the bats well, sitting 8th in the league in scoring, with a total of 50 runs. Overall, San Diego’s team batting average is .239, putting them 14th in the MLB.

Over the Padres’ last five games, Luis Campusano has been a hitting machine, batting .750 and leading the team in hits. This season, Campusano is batting an impressive .329 and has driven in 13 runs.

WILL THE ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?

Heading into their 115th game of the season, the Diamondbacks have an overall record of 57-58, and have a win percentage of just 48.3% at home. Currently, Arizona is 3rd in the NL West and has a 19-14-3 record across their 36 series.

Ryne Nelson has been given the start for the Diamondbacks, with an overall record of 6-6. Through 23 appearances, he has a 5.16 ERA and 5.9 K/9. His FIP is 4.99 and his OBP is .326.

Ryne Nelson will attempt to rebound from a subpar performance against the Twins. In Arizona’s 12-1 defeat, the right-hander allowed six runs in three frames of work.

So far this season, the Diamondbacks’ has gone deep 126 times, placing them 19th in the league. Over Arizona’s previous five games, they are 21st in runs scored, with their season average of 4.7 runs per game putting them 11th in the league. The Diamondbacks’ overall team batting average stands at .253 along with an OBP of .322.

Christian Walker has been a key contributor to the Diamondbacks’ offense over their last five games, leading the team in hits with a .300 batting average. For the 2023 season, he is hitting .263 and has 70 RBIs.