The Braves (72-41, 35-21 away) travel to take on the Mets (52-62, 28-24 home) in game one of this NL East matchup. Charlie Morton is getting the start for the Braves while Tylor Megill is starting for the Mets. See who I like to pick up the win in today’s Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets showdown at Citi Field.
ATLANTA BRAVES VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK
The Pick: New York Mets +1.5 Runs
This game will be played at Citi Field at 7:10 ET on Friday, August 11th.
WHY BET THE NEW YORK METS:
- In their five most recent games as the favorite, the Braves have gone just 1-4 against the runline.
- The Mets are on a two game runline winning streak as the home underdog.
- Charlie Morton has struggled of late, coming in with an ERA of 7.44 over his last two starts.
ATLANTA BRAVES LOOK TO CONTINUE WINNING WAYS ON THE ROAD
Atlanta comes into the game with an above .500 series record on the road at 13-4. Currently, the Braves are 1st in the NL East with an overall record of 72-41. Against the runline, they are 58-55 and have an over/under mark of 62-47. On the road, Atlanta has a runline record of 29-27.
The Braves will turn to starter Charlie Morton, who has a 10-10 record in 22 appearances this season. His ERA stands at 3.86, with a K/9 of 9.61 and an FIP of 4.10, while his opponents’ OBP is .330.
Charlie Morton’s outing against the Cubs resulted in a loss for the Braves, as he allowed five runs on four hits over 4 1/3 innings.
Offensively, Atlanta is ranked 3rd in the league with an average of 5.7 runs per game. When looking over their last ten matchups, the Braves averaged 5 runs per contest, which is 2nd best in that span. In terms of their power numbers, Atlanta is 1st in all of baseball, with a total of 217 home runs.
The Braves have seen Matt Olson lead the team in home runs over their last ten games, with a total of four. His season-long tally stands at 40, and he carries an overall batting average of .267 into the 2023 campaign.
WILL THE NEW YORK METS TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?
New York heads into today’s game ranked 4th in the NL East on an overall record of 52-62. The Mets have won two straight series at home and have an overall home record of 28-24. Against the runline, their overall record is 43-71, including going 22-30 vs. the runline at home. When looking at their over/under mark, the Mets are 47-61.
The Mets will turn to starter Tylor Megill, who has a 6-5 record over 16 appearances this season. His ERA stands at 5.45, with a K/9 of 7.22 and FIP of 5.24. He has also allowed an OBP of .366 against opposing batters.
Tylor Megill was handed the loss in the Mets’ 7-3 defeat to the Orioles after giving up five runs on nine hits in his outing.
Over their last ten games, the Mets are ranked 17th in the league in scoring at 3.6 runs per game. Their season-long scoring average of 4.4 per contest puts them 18th in baseball. In terms of on-base percentage, New York is 14th, with an OBP currently sitting at .316. The team’s collective batting average is .237 (16th).
Pete Alonso is the Mets’ home-run king in 2023, having already blasted 35 long balls and driving in 87 runs. His slugging percentage for the season is a robust .533.