At 7:10 PM from Citi Field in New York, we have an NL matchup between the Pirates and Mets. The forecast looks good in New York on Tuesday, with clear skies and temperatures in the upper 60s. Jose Quintana is starting for the Mets, and he is facing off against Jared Jones for the Pirates.

New York comes in with a record of 8-8, and they are the favorite on the money line at -127. As for the Pirates, they are 11-6 overall and have a money line payout of +107. The over/under line is at 7.5 runs.

PITTSBURGH PIRATES VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates Moneyline +107

This game will be played at Citi Field at 7:10 ET on Tuesday, April 16th.

HOW TO BET THE PIRATES VS METS:

  • We have the Pirates winning by a score of 5 to 4
  • If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Pirates to cover
  • As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Mets vs. Pirates series. New York went into the matchup as slight favorites at -124 and squeaked out a 6-3 win. The Mets had a big 8th inning, scoring three of their six runs. As for the Pirates, they scored all three of their runs in the 6th.

Pittsburgh wasted a good outing from Martin Perez, as he gave up just three earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. Aroldis Chapman struggled on the mound, taking the loss. Adrian Houser only went 5 1/3 innings for the Mets but gave up just two hits and two earned runs.

Offensively, the Mets were led by Francisco Lindor and Starling Marte, as they were the only two Mets hitters to have more than one hit. Lindor, Harrison Bader, and Jonathan Villar each had two RBIs for New York’s offense.

Pirates Records & Stats

Pittsburgh comes into today’s game in a two-way tie with the Brewers for the NL Central division lead. Currently, both teams hold a one-game lead over the Cubs. The Pirates are off to a good start this season, with an 11-6 record.

So far, Pittsburgh has been good on the road, putting together an 8-4 record. They are also above .500 at home, going 3-2. This season, the Pirates are 9-4 as the underdog, which includes a 7-3 mark on the road.

The Pirates are 12-5 against the run line this season, including a 9-3 record on the road. They have an average run margin of +1.2 runs per game this season, and their run line record is 10-3 when they are the underdog.

When the Pirates and Mets met on Tuesday, the game featured 9 runs, going over the 8.5 run total. The Pirates have now gone over in their last two games, and their games have averaged 9 runs per game this season. Their over/under record is 10-7 on the season, and the over/under line for their games has averaged 8 runs per game.

Jared Jones will be making his 4th start of the season for the Pirates, and he will be on the road against the Mets. Jones has been a tough-luck loser in each of his first two starts, and he is coming off a 6 1/3 inning outing against the Phillies, where he struck out 8 and gave up 3 runs. In his first start of the year, he picked up the win against the Marlins, striking out 10 hitters.

When looking at the Pirates’ player projections for today, we see that Ke’Bryan Hayes has the highest total hits projection on the team and the 21st highest in the league. Bryan Reynolds has the highest home run projection on the team and the 10th highest in the league. Michael A. Taylor’s home run projection is 12th in the league today.

Mets Records & Stats

The Mets are currently in 3rd place in the NL East heading into today’s game vs. the Pirates. They will also look to pick up a win at home, as they are just 4-6 at home this season. The good news is they have a winning record on the road at 4-2. Their overall record is currently 8-8.

New York is coming off a series win over the Royals and picked up a win in the series opener with the Pirates. So far, they are 4-6 as the favorite and 4-2 as the underdog this season. They have won their last two games and currently have an overall series record of 3-2.

The Mets have been a solid run line bet this season, going 8-8 overall. They have been particularly good on the run line on the road, going 5-1. They have also covered the run line in two straight games at home. Their average run margin for the season is +0.2 runs per game, but it jumps to +2.0 on the road and drops to -0.8 at home. They have covered the run line in five of nine games as the underdog.

So far this season, the Mets have played 16 games with an average combined run total of 9.1. Their over/under record is 8-8, and the average over/under line for their games has been 8.0. In games with an over/under line of 7.5, the record is 2-3. The Mets’ games have had an average of 9 runs per game, and the over has hit in 68.8% of their games.

Jose Quintana will be making his first start at home this season, as the Mets host the Pirates. Quintana has a win and a no-decision so far this season, and in his last start, he went 5 1/3 innings and struck out 4, giving up 3 earned runs.

For the Mets, we have Pete Alonso with the highest odds to hit a home run on the team and 9th in the league today. Brandon Nimmo has the highest total hits projection on the team and his home run projection is 15th in the league today. Jeff McNeil is 2nd in terms of total hits for the Mets and 18th in terms of home run projections today. Francisco Alvarez has the 2nd best odds to hit a home run on the team and 13th in the league today.