At 7:10 PM from Fenway Park in Boston, we have an American League matchup between the Guardians and Red Sox. Cleveland comes in with a record of 11-5, while the Red Sox are just above .500 at 9-8. Garrett Whitlock is set to start for Boston, and he is facing off against Tanner Bibee.

The over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and the Guardians are the slight favorite on the money line at -113. Looking at the odds for a Red Sox win, they are sitting at -113. You can catch this one on NESN.

CLEVELAND GUARDIANS VS BOSTON RED SOX BETTING PICK

The Pick: Cleveland Guardians Moneyline -107

This game will be played at Fenway Park at 7:10 ET on Tuesday, April 16th.

HOW TO BET THE GUARDIANS VS RED SOX:

  • We have the Guardians winning by a score of 6 to 5
  • However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Red Sox to cover
  • As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Cleveland cruised to an easy 6-0 win over the Red Sox in the most recent game of this series. The Guardians had a huge 7th inning, scoring two of their six runs and picking up five of their nine hits. As for the Red Sox, they had just three hits and didn’t score a run until the 9th inning.

Xzavion Curry only went five innings for the Guardians but didn’t give up a run and picked up the win. He finished the game with just three strikeouts and allowed one home run. On the other side, Kutter Crawford struggled on the mound for the Red Sox, giving up six runs in 5 2/3 innings of work.

Will Brennan and Gabriel Arias each had two RBIs for the Guardians’ offense. Brennan, Arias, and Jose Ramirez each scored two runs for Cleveland.

Guardians Records & Stats

Cleveland heads into today’s game in 1st place in the AL Central, leading the Royals by half a game. The Guardians have an overall record of 11-5 and have picked up two straight wins. These two wins came in the final two games of their series with the Yankees.

So far, the Guardians have been good on the road, putting together an 8-2 record. At home, they are just 3-3. Cleveland has won five straight games as the road team and is coming in with an overall series record of 4-1.

When the Cleveland Guardians hit the road, they have been a profitable run line bet, going 8-2 in their last 10 games. They have covered the run line in five straight games and are 11-5 overall this season. The Guardians have an average run margin of 3.8 on the road, compared to -0.5 at home. They have been a run line underdog in all but one game this season and are a perfect 7-0 in those contests.

When the Cleveland Guardians play, the over/under line is usually set lower than 8.5 runs. In 62.5% of their games, the line has been set at 8 runs or lower. The Guardians have played in just one game with a line set at 8.5 runs, and the over/under record in those games is 3-2. Their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 9-6 overall.

Tanner Bibee is getting the start for the Cleveland Guardians today on the road against the Boston Red Sox. He has been solid in his first two outings of the season, picking up a win in his first start against the Twins and then taking a no-decision vs. the White Sox. In that last outing, he went 4 1/3 innings and gave up 5 runs.

If you’re looking for some player props for the Guardians, we have Steven Kwan as our top projected hitter in terms of total hits, with his total hits projection being 2nd best in the league today. Bo Naylor has the best odds to hit a home run on the team and his home run projection is 5th best in today’s slate. José Ramírez has the 11th best total hits projection in the league today and his home run projection is 8th best.

Red Sox Records & Stats

The Red Sox are currently in 5th place in the AL East, tied with the Rays and three games behind the division-leading Yankees. So far, the Red Sox have a record of 9-8. At home, they are just 2-5 this season.

On the road, the Red Sox have been much better, putting together a record of 7-3. Boston is coming off a series loss to the Guardians and, in their series so far, they are 3-1-1. As the underdog, the Red Sox are 1-2 this season compared to 6-3 as the favorite.

When playing at home, the Red Sox have been a poor bet on the run line, going just 1-6. They have been much better on the run line on the road, going 8-2. They have been a good bet as the underdog, going 6-2 on the run line, compared to just 3-6 as the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.9, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.6.

So far this season, the Red Sox have played 16 games with an average combined run total of 8.1 runs. Their over/under record is 7-9, and when the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, they have gone over in all five games. Their current under streak is at four games, with their last game against the Guardians finishing with just six runs, well below the 9.5-run line.

Garrett Whitlock will be taking the mound for the Red Sox at home against the Cleveland Guardians. He has started three games so far this season and has yet to take a loss. In his last start, he went 5 innings and struck out 4, giving up 1 earned run. On the season, he has 16 strikeouts in 14 1/3 innings of work.

Our model has Triston Casas as the top power threat for the Red Sox in this game, giving him the best odds to hit a home run on the team and the 8th best odds in the league today. Tyler O’Neill has the 2nd best odds to go deep for the Red Sox and his total hits projection is the highest on the team. Jarren Duran is 2nd in terms of total hits for the Red Sox and his odds to hit a home run are 17th in today’s slate. Masataka Yoshida has the top total hits projection for the Red Sox.