The Phillies (56-49, 28-29 away) travel to take on the Marlins (57-49, 33-21 home) in game one of this NL East matchup. Taijuan Walker is getting the start for the Phillies while Edward Cabrera is starting for the Marlins. See who I like to pick up the win in today’s Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins showdown at loanDepot Park.
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES VS MIAMI MARLINS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Philadelphia Phillies -116
This game will be played at loanDepot Park at 6:40 ET on Monday, July 31st.
WHY BET THE PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES:
- The Phillies will be taking on a Marlins club that is just 4-6 over their last ten games.
- Over their last ten games as the favorite, the Marlins are just 4-6 (straight-up).
- In Taijuan Walker’s five most recent starts, the Phillies are 2-1.
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES HAVE STRUGGLED AGAINST THE NL EAST
On a record of 56-49, the Phillies are 3rd in the NL East. At home, they have put together a win percent of 58.3% compared to 49.1% on the road. This season, Philadelphia has gone 33-34 against teams who are above .500, and hold an overall series record of 18-13-2.
The Phillies will turn to starter Taijuan Walker for their next game, who has an impressive 11-4 record after 21 appearances. His ERA stands at 4.06, with a K/9 of 7.81, FIP of 4.32, and OBP of .303.
Taijuan Walker’s last outing saw him surrender six hits over 5 2/3 innings, resulting in two earned runs. Unfortunately, the right-hander did not factor into the decision as the Phillies edged out a 4-3 victory over Baltimore.
So far this season, the Phillies’ has gone deep 113 times, placing them 18th in the league. Over Philadelphia’s previous five games, they are 16th in runs scored, with their season average of 4.5 runs per game putting them 16th in the league. The Phillies’ overall team batting average stands at .255 along with an OBP of .321.
Alec Bohm has been a key contributor to the Philadelphia offense this season, boasting a .284 batting average and .420 slugging percentage. Over the last ten games, he’s been especially impressive, leading the team in hits with a .376 average.
WILL THE MIAMI MARLINS TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?
Through 106 games, the Marlins have a record of 57-49. This mark includes going 16-15-1 across their 32 series. Currently, Miami is 2nd in the NL East and have a 33-21 record at home while going 24-28 on the road. So far, the Marlins have gone 28-29 against teams with above .500 records.
Edward Cabrera will take the mound for Miami with a 5-6 record. The right-hander has made 16 appearances this season, boasting an ERA of 4.74 and a K/9 rate of 10.95. His FIP stands at 4.59, while his OBP is .326.
The Marlins were unable to secure a victory in Edward Cabrera’s last start, as they fell to the Rays 4-1. Cabrera was only able to make it through four innings, surrendering three earned runs on four hits.
The Marlins’ offense comes into today’s game with a collective batting average of .265 and are averaging 4.1 runs per game for the season. Looking at their ten most recent games, Miami has gone deep five times, which is ranked 15th in that time. To date, the team’s OPS is .719 to go along with an on base percentage of .320.
Jorge Soler has been one of the Marlins’ most productive hitters this year, boasting a .240 batting average and 54 RBIs. The slugger has also smacked 24 home runs in 2023.