Game four of this AL Central series sees the White Sox (43-63, 23-28 home) and Guardians (52-53, 24-29 away) facing off at Guaranteed Rate Field. The starting pitcher for the White Sox will be Michael Kopech, while the Guardians are turning to Aaron Civale. Find out who I like to win in this Chicago White Sox and Cleveland Guardians showdown.
CLEVELAND GUARDIANS VS CHICAGO WHITE SOX BETTING PICK
The Pick: Chicago White Sox +1.5 Runs
This game will be played at Guaranteed Rate Field at 2:10 ET on Sunday, July 30th.
WHY BET THE CHICAGO WHITE SOX:
- In their previous three games, the White Sox are 2-1 vs. the runline.
- Cleveland has failed to cover the runline in two straight games when favored to win.
- The Guardians are just 1-2 in Aaron Civale’s last five starts.
CLEVELAND GUARDIANS SEEK TO IMPROVE THEIR ROAD RECORD
105 games into the season, the Guardians have a record of 52-53, putting them 2nd in the AL Central. This mark includes an overall series 16-15-1. At home, they are 28-24 compared to 24-29 on the road.
Aaron Civale is currently 4-2 in his 13th appearance of the season. His ERA stands at 2.54, with a batting average allowed of .207. On the road, he has a record of 1-1 and an ERA of 2.23, while at home he is 3-1 with an ERA of 3.23. Opposing teams have managed to muster up a slugging percentage of .316 against him this season.
The Guardians earned a victory in Aaron Civale’s last start, defeating the Royals 5-1. The right-hander logged eight innings of work, surrendering five hits and one earned run while adding a win to his ledger.
With a season-long average of 4.2 runs per game, the Guardians are the 23rd ranked scoring offense this season. As a team, they are batting .253, with an OBP of .316. In Cleveland’s last ten games, they are 11th in home runs, having gone deep nine times in that span.
The Guardians’ José Ramírez is the team’s leader in hits, boasting a .290 batting average. He has also been impressive at the plate with a .495 slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .358.
WILL THE CHICAGO WHITE SOX TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?
Through 106 games, the White Sox are in 4th place in the AL Central on an overall record of 43-63. So far, they have a below .500 record at home, going just 23-28. For the season, Chicago has played in 32 series and gone 8-22-2.
The White Sox will turn to starter Michael Kopech, who has an overall record of 4-9. Through 19 appearances, his ERA stands at 4.44 and he has a K/9 rate of 9.89. Additionally, his FIP is 6.09 and opponents have a .327 OBP against him.
Michael Kopech was unable to get the win against the Cubs, as he allowed five runs on nine hits in five innings of work.
Over their last five games, the White Sox are ranked 13th in the league in scoring at 4 runs per game. Their season-long scoring average of 4.2 per contest puts them 22nd in baseball. In terms of on-base percentage, Chicago is 21st, with an OBP currently sitting at .297. The team’s collective batting average is .239 (18th).
Eloy Jiménez has been on fire for the White Sox over their past five games, leading the team with a .380 batting average. The slugger has also put up impressive numbers for the season, boasting a .285 average and 47 RBIs.