Austin Gomber will get the start for the Rockies (41-64, 24-28 home) as they host the Padres (52-54, 23-29 away) at Coors Field. The Padres will give the starting nod to Seth Lugo. Check out my prediction for game one of this NL West matchup between the San Diego Padres and Colorado Rockies.
SAN DIEGO PADRES VS COLORADO ROCKIES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Colorado Rockies +1.5 Runs
This game will be played at Coors Field at 8:40 ET on Monday, July 31st.
WHY BET THE COLORADO ROCKIES:
- In their previous five games, the Rockies are 3-2 vs. the runline.
- Against the runline, the Rockies have gone 8-2 in their ten games at home.
- In Seth Lugo’s 15 starts, the Padres have a record of just 6-9.
SAN DIEGO PADRES HAVE STRUGGLED AGAINST THE NL WEST
Coming in with an overall record of 52-54, the Padres are winners of four straight games. Through 32 series, they are 12-16-4 and in 4th place in the NL West. At home, they have gone 29-25 compared to 23-29 on the road.
Heading into today’s matchup, San Diego’s Seth Lugo has gone six-plus innings in his last two outings. Lugo currently holds a 4-5 record and 3.62 ERA, with 79 strikeouts and a .409 slugging percentage allowed. His WHIP is 1.20 and WOBA allowed is .303.
Seth Lugo’s performance in the Padres’ 3-2 loss to the Pirates was a quality start, as he allowed two runs over seven innings.
Offensively, San Diego is ranked 13th in the league with an average of 4.5 runs per game. When looking over their last ten matchups, the Padres averaged 4.6 runs per contest, which is 8th best in that span. In terms of their power numbers, San Diego is 10th in all of baseball, with a total of 134 home runs.
Juan Soto has been a major contributor to the Padres’ offensive success this season, leading the team in home runs with 20 and RBIs with 64. His slugging percentage of .503 is indicative of his power at the plate.
WILL THE COLORADO ROCKIES TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?
105 games into the season, the Rockies have a record of 41-64, putting them 5th in the NL West. This mark includes an overall series 12-17-3. At home, they are 24-28 compared to 17-36 on the road.
Austin Gomber has made 21 appearances this season, with an 8-8 record and a 5.83 ERA. He has allowed a slugging percentage of .503 and enters with a WHIP of 1.44. The lefty has 72 strikeouts on the year, averaging 6 per nine innings. When playing away from home, Gomber is 3-4 with an ERA of 4.53; at home, he is 5-4 with an ERA of 9.61.
Austin Gomber notched a quality start in his latest appearance, hurling six frames and allowing one run. Despite his impressive effort, the Rockies were unable to get past the Nationals, falling 6-5.
Over their last ten games, the Rockies are ranked 11th in the league in scoring at 4.2 runs per game. Their season-long scoring average of 4.4 per contest puts them 18th in baseball. In terms of on-base percentage, Colorado is 16th, with an OBP currently sitting at .314. The team’s collective batting average is .254 (10th).
Over the Rockies’ last five contests, Ryan McMahon has topped the team in homers with one. He has hit 16 long balls across the season and holds a .257 batting average.