At 10:30 ET, the Lakers (-116) will host the Thunder (-104) in a Western Conference matchup. Oklahoma City is 1st in the West and 1st in the Northwest Division. The Lakers are 10th in the West and 5th in the Pacific.

Los Angeles (-1) is favored by 1 point at Arena. The over/under line is set at 237.5. NBA TV will televise the game.


The Pick: Los Angeles Lakers -1

This game will be played at Arena at 10:30 ET on Monday, March 4th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 119-116 in favor of the Lakers.
  • Our projections have Anthony Davis finishing with Anthony Davis points, 12 rebounds and 4 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Lakers finishing with a field goal percentage of 48.5% and knocking down 13 threes.

Will Oklahoma City Make it Happen on the Road?

Today, the Thunder are 1-point underdogs against the Lakers. This season, Oklahoma City has been the underdog in 16 of their 60 games, going 9-7 in those games. As the underdog, they have a scoring margin of +1.6 points per game.

Oklahoma City’s ATS record this season is 39-21, and they have covered the spread in four straight road games. On the road, they are 18-12 ATS compared to 21-9 ATS at home.

In terms of their O/U record, the Thunder are 33-26-1 for the season. In their last game against the Suns, the final score was 118-110, which was below the O/U line of 232.5.

This season, the average O/U line in Thunder games is 234 points, and their games have averaged a combined 234.4 points. Today’s line is set at 237.5, and 40 of their games have had lower O/U lines than that.

Oklahoma City is currently in first place in the Western Conference with a record of 42-18. In their last game, they defeated the Suns by a score of 118-110. The Thunder were favored by 4.5 points in that game, giving them an ATS win.

So far this season, the Thunder have been one of the best shooting teams in the league. They are currently 2nd in field goal percentage at 50% and lead the NBA in three-point shooting at 39%. In terms of scoring, they are 4th in the league at 121.2 points per game.

When playing on the road, the Thunder are averaging 118.8 points per game. Overall, they have outscored the NBA scoring average in 70% of their games this season. However, they have scored less than their season average in each of their last three games.

Coming into this game, the Thunder are 11th in pace at 99.8 possessions per game. In terms of assists, they are 12th in the league at 26.9 per game. However, they are one of the worst offensive rebounding teams in the NBA, averaging just 8.7 per game.

On defense, the Thunder come into the game ranked 13th in the league in points allowed at 113.3 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 112.3 points per contest (24th). When it comes to forced turnovers, the Thunder are forcing 11.5 per game, which is 2nd in the league. They also come into the game sitting 1st in blocked shots at 6.8 per game.

Does Los Angeles Have What it Takes to Win as Home Favorites?

Today, the Lakers are favored by 1 point against the Thunder. This season, they have been favored in 32 of their 62 games and have gone 22-10 in those games. As the favorite, they have an average scoring margin of +3.9 points per game.

Los Angeles’ ATS record for the season is 27-35, and they have lost against the spread in their last two games. At home, they are 14-17 ATS and have an average scoring margin of +4.5 points per game.

The Lakers are 10th in the Western Conference with a record of 33-29. In their last game, they lost to the Nuggets by a score of 124-114. The Lakers were 1-point underdogs in that game.

This season, the Lakers have an O/U record of 34-28, and their games have averaged 234.8 points per game. The average over/under line in their games is 232.5 points, and their last two games have gone over the posted O/U lines.

At home, the Lakers are averaging 118.0 points per game (10th) compared to 116.2 on the road (12th). Overall, they are 12th in the NBA in scoring at 117.1 points per game.

Los Angeles is 5th in pace and 3rd in field goal percentage. However, they are one of the worst three-point shooting teams in the league, ranking 30th in attempts and 28th in makes. From inside the arc, the Lakers are 6th in both two-point attempts and makes.

When it comes to free throws, the Lakers are 7th in attempts and 10th in makes. In terms of offensive rebounds, they are last in the NBA. Finally, Los Angeles is 7th in assists at 28.6 per game.

So far, the Lakers defense is giving up 117.7 points per contest, which has them sitting 21st in the NBA. One thing to note, is they have given up more points than their season average in two straight matchups. When it comes to defending inside the arc, the Lakers squad is permitting opposing teams to shoot at a clip of 54.3% inside the arc, and they’re also giving up 37.6% from downtown.