In the American Athletic Championship Game, the No. 16 Memphis Tigers (-10) are heavy favorites against the No. 21 Cincinnati Bearcats. Kickoff for this important matchup is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET and fans can catch it live by tuning in to ABC.
No. 21 Cincinnati vs. No. 16 Memphis Betting Odds 12/7/2019
Memphis is favored by 10 points in this AAC matchup. The Bearcats are currently receiving +300 moneyline odds while the Tigers are -400. The over/under has been set at 57.5 points, and it looks like there should be some solid in-game betting possibilities in this showdown.
The game’s opening line was originally set at -9 and the O/U was initially 58.5, so it seems that the sharp action has been siding with both the Tigers and the under.
The Bearcats are 10-2 straight up (SU), including 7-1 SU against AAC opponents. The Tigers are 11-1 SU overall and are also 7-1 SU in conference play. Each team has rewarded gamblers this year as the Bearcats have gained 6.5 units while the Tigers are up 7.2 units.
The Bearcats fell to Memphis 34-24 in a contest where their defense allowed the Tigers to eat up the clock by running for 199 yards on 38 rush attempts, along with one rushing TD. On the offensive side, Ben Bryant completed 20 passes for 229 yards, one score and two interceptions. Michael Warren II (122 rushing yards on 21 attempts, one TD) and the signal-caller Bryant (-1 yards on 11 carries, one TD) led the running attack. Alec Pierce (four receptions, 77 yards) and Josiah Deguara (four catches, 46 yards) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.
Memphis enters this one after just earning a 34-24 win over Cincinnati. Brady White completed 15-of-26 passes for 233 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Kenneth Gainwell (87 rushing yards on 15 attempts) and Patrick Taylor Jr. (25 yards on 10 carries) handled the running game as Damonte Coxie (six receptions, 145 yards, one TD) and Gainwell (three catches, 20 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the win.
Cincinnati has run the ball on 62.6 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Memphis has an overall rush percentage of 57.6 percent. The Bearcats have produced 196 rush yards per game (including 200 per game against American Athletic Conference opponents) and have 23 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Tigers are putting up 196 rush yards per contest (174 in conference) and have 27 total rushing TDs.
It seems like the Tigers ought to have the more disruptive lines up front. Their offensive line has given up only 19 sacks while the D-line has registered 31 sacks. The Bearcats offensive line has allowed 31 sacks and their defense has got to opposing signal-callerss just 27 times.
The Bearcats have averaged 184 yards through the air overall (164 per game against conference opposition) and have 18 passing TDs so far. The Tigers have produced 287 pass yards per outing (301.0 in the AAC) and have 32 total pass scores.
Defensively, Cincinnati has let opponents run for an average of 139 yards and pass for 232 yards per game. Memphis has allowed 167.5 yards per game on the ground and 198 to opposing teams in the air. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to the opposition, as the Bearcats have given up an ANY/A of 5.35 to opposing QBs, while the Tigers are allowing an ANY/A of 5.31.
White has been more productive than Bryant recently. His adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 10.37 for the year and 6.93 across his last two games while Bryant’s ANY/A is 5.10 and 3.46 over the past two outings.
These two AAC adversaries did not get a chance to play each other last year.
Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Memphis Tigers NCAA Prediction
SU Winner – Memphis, ATS Winner – Memphis, O/U – Under
Team Betting Notes
The O/U for Cincinnati’s previous game was set at 60. The under cashed in the team’s 34-24 loss to Memphis.
As a team, Cincinnati has produced 3.8 yards per carry over its past three games and 3.7 over its last two.
Memphis has averaged 5.1 yards per carry over its last three outings and 5.5 over its past two.
Memphis has lost nine fumbles this season while Cincinnati has let eight get away.
Over its last three contests, Cincinnati is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.
The O/U for Memphis’ previous matchup was set at 60. The under cashed in the 34-24 win over Cincinnati.
In its last three matches, Memphis is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
The Bearcats offense has created 10 pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Tigers have accounted for 22 such plays.
The Cincinnati defense has allowed 13 pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Memphis has given up six such plays.
The Cincinnati offense has created 19 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Memphis has created 21 such runs.
The Bearcats defense has allowed nine rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Tigers have given up 18 such runs.
The Memphis D has recorded 31 sacks on the year while Cincinnati has 27.