Head Coach Ed Orgeron and the No. 1 LSU Tigers (-8) are coming into the SEC Championship Game as heavy favorites against Coach Kirby Smart and the No. 4 Georgia Bulldogs. This afternoon game starts at 4:00 p.m. ET and CBS is scheduled to broadcast the action. When these two squads faced one another a year ago, LSU knocked Georgia off easily 36-16.
No. 4 Georgia at No. 1 LSU Betting Odds 12/7/2019
Georgia is a big underdog in this SEC matchup and is currently getting 8 points. The Bulldogs are also receiving +250 moneyline odds while the Tigers are -330. If one program catches a lucky break early it would create a nice in-game betting scenario. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 55.5 points.
Sharp bettors are siding with the under, as the game’s over/under was set originally at 57.
Both of these teams have rewarded gamblers this season as the Bulldogs have gained 5.0 units while the Tigers are ahead 6.8 units.
The undefeated Bulldogs have gone 11-1 straight up (SU), including 7-1 SU against conference opponents. The Tigers are 12-0 SU overall and 8-0 SU in conference play.
The Dawgs are coming off a resounding 52-7 victory over Georgia Tech last week where Jake Fromm completed just 14-of-29 passes for 254 yards and four touchdowns. D’Andre Swift (73 rushing yards on 10 attempts) led the ground attack while Tyler Simmons (three receptions, 52 yards, one TD) and Demetris Robertson (two catches, 22 yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.
LSU takes the field on Saturday after just getting a 50-7 win over Texas A&M. The team’s defense did its part in the victory, limiting the Aggies to only 97 passing yards and 72 rushing yards. Isaiah Spiller had a good outing in the loss for Texas A&M, accounting for 66 rushing yards and a score on 11 attempts, along with 45 yards on three catches. For LSU, Joe Burrow completed 23-of-32 passes for 352 yards and three touchdowns. Clyde Edwards-Helaire (87 yards on 18 rush attempts, one TD) handled the running game as Ja’Marr Chase (seven receptions, 197 yards, two TDs) and Justin Jefferson (six catches, 55 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching attack in the win.
Georgia has run the ball on 57.4 percent of its offensive possessions this year while LSU has an overall rush percentage of 48.5 percent. The Bulldogs have rushed for 200 yards/game (including 187 per game versus Southeastern opponents) and have 20 scores on the ground this year. The Tigers are totaling 170 rushing yards per game (181 in conference) and have 29 total rush TDs.
If 2019 results are any indication, then it seems like the Bulldogs may own an edge in terms of RB effectiveness. Their backfield has produced 5.2 yards per carry while their defense is allowing 2.5 YPC to opponents. The Tigers have recorded 5.0 yards per carry and allowed 3.7 YPC to opponents.
The Dawgs offense has logged 221 yards per game in the air overall (187 per game versus conference opposition) and has 23 passing TDs so far. The Tigers have recorded an astonishing 390 pass yards per outing (377.3 against SEC competition) and have 45 total pass scores.
On the defensive side of the ball, Georgia should have the upper hand in both facets. The team has allowed 71 rush yards and 186 pass yards per game. The LSU D has allowed 221.4 yards per game to opposing passers and 124.5 yards per game on the ground. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to opponents, as the Dawgs have given up an ANY/A of 4.52 to opposing QBs, while the Tigers are allowing an ANY/A of 5.01.
Burrow has been more sharp than Fromm recently. His adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at 11.08 for the season and 12.38 over his last two games while Fromm’s ANY/A is 8.22 (and 8.91 over the last two games).
Georgia Bulldogs at LSU Tigers Betting Prediction
SU Winner – LSU, ATS Winner – LSU, O/U – Under
The LSU D has sacked opposing quarterbacks 30 times this season. Georgia has produced 25 sacks.
LSU has lost five fumbles in 2019 while Georgia has lost seven.
The Bulldogs offense has tallied nine pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Tigers have accounted for 17 such plays.
The Georgia defense has allowed five pass plays of 40+ yards, while LSU has given up six such plays.
The Georgia offense has created 16 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while LSU has created 19 such runs.
The Bulldogs defense has allowed three rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Tigers have given up 13 such runs.
The O/U for LSU’s last outing was set at 63. The under cashed in that 50-7 triumph over Texas A&M.
Over its last three contests, LSU is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
In its last three games, Georgia is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
The O/U for Georgia’s last game was set at 46.5. The over cashed in the team’s 52-7 win over Georgia Tech.
Georgia has produced 4.1 yards per carry across its last three games and 4.2 over its last two.
LSU has averaged 6.5 yards per carry over its last three outings and 7.1 over its last two.