The No. 6 Oklahoma Sooners (-8) are coming into the Big 12 Championship Game as considerable favorites against the No. 8 Baylor Bears. This afternoon game will get underway at 12:00 p.m. ET and ABC is scheduled to televise the action. When the two teams met last year, Oklahoma knocked Baylor off soundly 66-33.
No. 8 Baylor vs. No. 6 Oklahoma Betting Predictions 12/7/2019
This Saturday Big 12 game shows the Bears as a noticeable underdogs and they’re currently getting 8 points. The Bears are also receiving +260 moneyline odds while the Sooners are -340. If one team can catch a lucky break early it’ll create a worthwhile in-game betting opportunity. Vegas has determined the over/under (O/U) to be 61 points.
The sharp action has been siding with both the Bears and the under. The opening line was initially -10 and the game’s over/under was placed originally at 62.5.
Both of these teams have been profitable this year as the Bears have gained 8.1 units while the Sooners are up 5.0 units.
The Bears are 11-1 straight up (SU), including 8-1 SU against conference opponents. The Sooners are 11-1 SU overall and are also 8-1 SU in conference play.
The Bears are coming off a resounding 61-6 victory over Kansas last week. Charlie Brewer completed only 13-of-25 passes for 182 yards, along with one TD and an interception. JaMycal Hasty (92 rushing yards on 14 attempts, three TDs) and Trestan Ebner (55 yards on eight carries, one TD) led the ground attack while Tyquan Thornton (four receptions, 69 yards, one TD) and Denzel Mims (four catches, 53 yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.
The Oklahoma Sooners are coming off of a blowout 34-16 win over Oklahoma State. The team’s defensive unit let the Cowboys run for 128 yards on 29 rush attempts, along with one rushing TD. Chuba Hubbard was a bright spot in the loss for Oklahoma State, recording 104 rushing yards and a score on 24 attempts. For Oklahoma, Jalen Hurts completed 13-of-16 passes for 163 yards and one touchdown. Kennedy Brooks (160 yards on 22 rush attempts, one TD) and the signal-caller Hurts (61 yards on 16 carries, one TD) led the running game while CeeDee Lamb (four receptions, 36 yards) and Nick Basquine (two catches, 32 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the win.
Baylor has run the ball on 54.9 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Oklahoma has an overall rush percentage of 60.1 percent. The Bears have produced 186 rush yards per game (including 164 per game versus Big 12 opponents) and have 34 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Sooners are totaling 260 rushing yards per game (239 in conference) and have 32 total rush TDs.
The Bears offense has logged 259 yards/contest in the air overall (264 per game against conference opposition) and has 21 passing TDs so far. The Sooners have recorded 304 pass yards per contest (288.3 in the Big 12) and have 35 total pass scores.
Defensively, Baylor has let opponents run for an average of 144 yards and pass for 209 yards per game. The Oklahoma D has allowed 195.9 yards per game to opposing passers and 140.9 yards per game to opposing runners. The Bears are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 3.84 to opponents, while the Sooners have allowed a 5.66 ANY/A.
Hurts has connected on 194-of-264 passes for 3,202 yards, 29 TDs and five INTs. Hurts’ adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 12.30 for the year and 7.39 over his past two outings. In the other locker room, Brewer has put up 2,714 passing yards this season. He’s connected on 208-of-317 attempts with 19 passing touchdowns and only six interceptions. Brewer has a 7.76 ANY/A, including 7.27 over the last two outings.
Baylor Bears at Oklahoma Sooners Free Pick
SU Winner – Oklahoma, ATS Winner – Oklahoma, O/U – Over
The Over/Under for Baylor’s previous game was set at 48. The over cashed in the team’s 61-6 victory over Kansas.
Baylor has produced 5.0 yards per carry over its past three contests and 5.1 over its last two.
Oklahoma has averaged 5.5 yards per carry over its last three outings and 6.0 over its last two.
The Oklahoma offense has lost nine fumbles this season while Baylor has lost 10.
Over its last three games, Baylor is 3-0 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
The Over/Under for Oklahoma’s previous matchup was set at 67.5. The under cashed in the 34-16 victory over Oklahoma State.
In its last three contests, Oklahoma is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.
The Bears offense has tallied 10 pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Sooners have accounted for 16 such plays.
Both defenses have allowed two pass plays of 40 yards or more. The Baylor defense has given up six pass plays of 30+ yards while Oklahoma has given up 11 such plays.
The Baylor offense has created 25 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Oklahoma has created 35 such runs.
The Bears defense has allowed 12 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Sooners have given up 20 such runs.
The Baylor defense has 40 sacks on the year while Oklahoma has just 29.