The Wolf Pack and Spartans are set to face off at 10:00 ET on FS1. The Spartans will host the game at Provident Credit Union Event Center in San Jose, CA. Nevada is favored by -9.5 in this Mountain West conference showdown. The game’s over/under is currently at 140.5 points.

NEVADA WOLF PACK VS SAN JOSE STATE SPARTANS BETTING PICK

The Pick: San Jose State Spartans +9.5

This game will be played at Provident Credit Union Event Center at 10:00 ET on Friday, February 23rd.

WHY BET THE SAN JOSE STATE SPARTANS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Spartans.
  • Not only will San Jose State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +9.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 140.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Can Nevada Stun the Crowd at Provident Credit Union Event Center?

After winning their last game against Wyoming 76-58, Nevada comes into this game with a record of 21-6. They have gone 8-5 in Mountain West play this season and 13-1 outside of conference.

As the favorite, the Wolf Pack have gone 17-4 this season, and they are 8-4 on the road compared to 13-2 at home. Over their last 10 road games, Nevada is 7-3.

Overall, Nevada has a solid ATS record of 17-10 this season. On the road, their ATS mark stands at 8-4. Over their last 3 road games, the Wolf Pack have gone 2-1 vs. the spread. As the favorite, Nevada has an ATS record of 13-8 this year and over their last 10 games as the favorite, they are 5-5 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 140.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Nevada’s games this year (144). This season, their over/under record is 10-17 and their games have averaged 142.7 points per game. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 144 points.

In their recent game, the Wolf Pack’s offense concluded with 76 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 76.2 points per contest. The team’s top scorer is Jarod Lucas, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 17.1, while Kenan Blackshear also carries a PPG average of 15.6 into the game.

At present, the Wolf Pack’s defense is nationally ranked 43rd, allowing 66.4 points per game. The Nevada defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 58 points and allowed Wyoming to connect on 11 threes.

Does San Jose State Have a Shot at a Home Win?

San Jose State has struggled mightily this season, as they enter this game with a 9-18 record. They have lost two straight games and are just 2-12 in Mountain West Conference play.

At home, the Spartans are 5-8, and over their last 10 home games, they are just 3-7. For the season, they have been outscored by an average of 3.2 points per game at home.

As the underdog, San Jose State has gone just 6-10 against the spread this season and they are 9-16 overall vs. the spread. Their ATS record at home is 5-8 and they have gone 1-4 vs. the spread in their last five home games. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Spartans are just 2-8 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 140.5 is similar to the average over/under line in San Jose State’s games this season (139.4). So far, 16 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line. Over their last three games, they have an over/under record of 2-1.

Most recently, the San Jose State offense finished with just 50 points vs. Boise State. For the game, they hit 10/28 three-point attempts and a field goal percentage of 32.7%. In terms of three-point shooting, the Spartans offense has been good from outside, hitting 35% of their three-pointers on an average of 24.5 attempts per game. Their overall field goal percentage is currently 45%.

At present, the Spartans’ defense is nationally ranked 249th, allowing 74.7 points per game. San Jose State’s defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the Boise State offense to knock down 53% of their shots on their way to putting up 82 points.