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The Rockets and Falcons are set to face off at 7:00 ET on ESPNU. The Falcons will host the game at Stroh Center in Bowling Green, OH. Toledo is favored by -4.5 in this Mid-American conference matchup the against Bowling Green. The over/under for the game is set at 156.5 points.

TOLEDO ROCKETS VS BOWLING GREEN FALCONS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Bowling Green Falcons +4.5

This game will be played at Stroh Center at 7:00 ET on Friday, February 23rd.

WHY BET THE BOWLING GREEN FALCONS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Falcons.
  • Not only will Bowling Green pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +4.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 156.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Taking a Look at the Rockets Chances in Bowling Green

Through 26 games, Toledo has a record of 17-9, including a 2-game win streak. In Mid-American Conference play, the Rockets are 11-2, compared to 6-7 in non-conference games. On the road, Toledo has gone 6-5 this season, and they are 13-3 when favored.

Coming off a 72-64 win over Akron, the Rockets have gone 5-5 in their last 10 road games. So far this season, Toledo has an average scoring margin of +1.3 on the road.

Overall, Toledo has an ATS record of 13-13 this season. When favored, the Rockets are 7-9 vs. the spread. On the road, Toledo has an ATS mark of 6-5 this year and over their last 10 road games, they are 5-5 vs. the spread. In their last three games as the favorite, the Rockets are 1-2 ATS.

On the season, the over/under record for Toledo games is 14-12 and the average scoring total in their games is 157.6 points. Today's over/under line of 156.5 is in line with their season average OU line of 154.8. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 172 points and their OU record in their last 10 games is 5-5.

The Toledo offense is coming off a game in which they scored 72 points vs. Akron. Overall their field goal percentage was 42.2% while connecting on 8 threes. The top scorer for the Rockets was Sonny Wilson with 18 points, while Tyler Cochran also added 17 to the scoreboard.

Facing Bowling Green, Toledo aims for a better defensive performance, given their current average of 77.1 points allowed per game (290th). The Toledo defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 64 points and allowed Akron to connect on 8 threes.

Does Bowling Green Have What it Takes at Home?

At home this season, Bowling Green has gone 10-4 with an average scoring margin of +7.2 points per game. Over their last ten games at home, the Falcons have gone 8-2. So far, Bowling Green has been the underdog in nine games, going 4-5 in those matchups.

In their last game, the Falcons lost to Eastern Michigan by a score of 69-60. Over their last five games, Bowling Green has gone 3-2 at home, and over their last ten games, they have gone 8-2 at home.

As the underdog this season, Bowling Green has a record of 4-5 vs. the spread. Their overall ATS mark is 10-13, including a home ATS record of 7-7. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Falcons have gone 4-5-1 vs. the spread. In their last 3 home games, they have an ATS mark of 1-2.

So far this season, the over/under record for Bowling Green games is 15-8. Today's over/under line of 156.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games this year (147.7). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 132 points.

In their latest game, Bowling Green offense put up 60 points against Eastern Michigan. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 34.4% and made 6 threes. The team's top scorer is Marcus Hill, who comes into today's matchup with an average of 21.1, while Rashaun Agee also maintains a PPG average of 13 leading up to the game.

In terms of defense, Bowling Green is currently on par with the NCAA average for points allowed, giving up an average of 72.0 points per game. The Bowling Green defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 69 points and allowed Eastern Michigan to connect on 7 threes.