Looking to win big? The Ospreys and Dolphins face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Dolphins are hosting the game at Swisher Gymnasium in Jacksonville, FL. The over/under for this Atlantic Sun conference contest is set at 140 points, with Jacksonville being favored by -1 at home against North Florida.


The Pick: Jacksonville Dolphins -1

This game will be played at Swisher Gymnasium at 7:00 ET on Friday, February 23rd.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-68 in favor of the Dolphins.
  • Not only will Jacksonville pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -1.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 140 points, and we like the over with a projected 143 points.

Can North Florida Secure a Road Victory?

North Florida enters this game with a 15-13 overall record, including an 8-5 mark in Atlantic Sun Conference play. The Ospreys have won two straight games and are 5-9 on the road this season.

So far this year, North Florida has been the underdog in 15 games, going 7-8 in those contests. Their average scoring margin on the road is -6.1 points per game, and they have gone 4-6 in their last 10 road games.

North Florida has been solid against the spread this season, going 14-10-1. As the underdog, they have gone 10-4-1 vs. the spread this year. On the road, the Ospreys have an ATS mark of 8-5-1 this season and they have gone 5-4-1 in their last 10 road games vs. the spread. In their last three games as the underdog, North Florida has gone 3-0 vs. the spread.

North Florida’s over/under record for the season is 13-11-1 and the average scoring total in their games is 154.3 points. Today’s over/under line of 140 is lower than the average OU line in their games this year (152.6) and 24 of their games have had a higher over/under line than 140. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 163 points.

North Florida’s offense had a good outing, putting up 82 points against Kennesaw State. They achieved a 42.2% field goal percentage and went 14/19 from the free-throw line. The team’s top scorer is Chaz Lanier, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 19.8, while Nate Lliteras also carries a PPG average of 10.7 into the game.

Facing Jacksonville, North Florida aims for a better defensive performance, given their current average of 75.9 points allowed per game (273rd). In today’s game vs. Jacksonville, the North Florida defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, North Florida made 15 free-throws vs. the Ospreys.

Can the Dolphins Pull Off a Home Win?

After losing two straight games, Jacksonville will look to get back on track as they host North Florida. The Dolphins are 8-1 at home this season and 9-1 in their last 10 games at home.

Overall, Jacksonville is 13-14, including a 4-9 mark in Atlantic Sun Conference games. They have been the favorite in eight of their 27 games, going 7-1 in those contests.

Against the spread, Jacksonville has gone 10-14 this season. At home, they are 6-3 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Dolphins are 5-5 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record for Jacksonville games is 14-10. So far, the average over/under line in their games is 142.9 and today’s line of 140 is lower than that. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 131 points and their OU record in their last 10 games is 3-7.

Most recently, the Jacksonville offense finished with just 65 points vs. Queens (NC). For the game, they hit 7/28 three-point attempts and a field goal percentage of 36.9%. Robert McCray is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 17.1 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Gyasi Powell brings a PPG average of 9.4 into the game.

Currently, the Dolphins’ defense holds the 183rd rank in the nation, allowing 72.4 points per game. The Jacksonville defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 74 points and allowed Queens (NC) to connect on 9 threes.