The college hoops betting action goes on Friday, February 4, 2022, so we are taking a closer look at the Mountain West Conference at Save Mart Center in Fresno, California, to get you the best Nevada vs. Fresno State betting pick and odds.
The Wolf Pack take on the Bulldogs for the second time this season. Back on January 21, Nevada outlasted Fresno State 77-73 as a 2-point home fave, recording its ninth straight victory over the Bulldogs. The Wolf Pack are 8.5-point road underdogs for this one, while the totals are listed at 131.0 points on MyBookie Sportsbook.
Nevada dropped four of its last five contests
The Nevada Wolf Pack (9-10 SU; 5-13 ATS) have struggled mightily over their last five outings, recording just one victory in the process. Alongside that narrow win over Fresno State, the Wolf Pack lost to Wyoming 77-67, Colorado State 77-66, Utah State 78-49, and UNLV 69-58.
Last time out, Nevada failed to cover a 5-point spread against UNLV on the road. The Wolf Pack trailed the Rebels for ten or points for most of the game, making only 34.5% of their field goals and 17.6% of their 3-pointers.
Nevada sits at the eighth spot of the MWC standings with a 3-5 record. The Wolf Pack are No. 138 in the NCAA NET Rankings and No. 128 in the KenPom rankings. They score 104.7 points per 100 possessions and yield 101.3 in a return (151st).
Fresno State routed San Jose State to return to winning ways
The Fresno State Bulldogs improved to 15-6 straight up and 13-6-1 ATS on the season following a 73-43 thrashing of the San Jose State Spartans this past Tuesday. They bounced back from a 68-63 home loss to Boise State in style, recording the fifth victory in the last seven outings at any location.
Once more, the Bulldogs relied on their stout defense. They held the Spartans to only 37.0% shooting from the field and 17.4% from beyond the arc. On the other side of the ball, the Bulldogs enjoyed a terrific night and made 58.7% of their field goals. Furthermore, the Bulldogs went 8-for-12 from beyond the 3-point line.
Fresno State is now 5-3 in the conference play, laying at the fifth spot of the Mountain West Conference table. The Bulldogs allow only 92.9 points per 100 possessions (28th in the country) on 40.5% shooting from the field (54th).
- 1-9 ATS in the last ten games overall
- 1-7 ATS in the last eight tilts against the Mountain West Conference
- 12-5-1 ATS in the last 18 games overall
- 8-4 ATS in the last 12 games played on Friday
Nevada vs. Fresno State Pick
The Wolf Pack have gone 9-0 SU and 7-2 ATS in their last nine meetings with the Bulldogs, and I expect Fresno State to finally put an end to Nevada’s dominance. The Bulldogs have been terrific defensively thus far, so the Wolf Pack will have a mountain to climb at Save Mart Center in Fresno.
Nevada hasn’t played well as of late. The Wolf Pack have defeated Fresno State at home thanks to a good shooting night. This time around, they’ll have a tall task to execute well offensively against one of the best defensive teams in the country.
Pick: Take Fresno State -8.5 at -110
The under is 4-1 in Nevada’s last five games overall, and it is 3-2 in Fresno State’s previous five. I’ll follow those betting trends even though the total has gone over in 16 of the previous 20 encounters between the Wolf Pack and Bulldogs.
Fresno State loves to take things slowly. The Bulldogs register only 61.5 possessions per 40 minutes (355th in the nation). On the other side, Nevada tallies 71.2 possessions per 40 minutes, so the totals are a tricky bet in this matchup.
Pick: Go under 131.0 points at -110