Home NBA Free NBA Picks Los Angeles Clippers vs. Golden State Warriors Free Pick 03/10/20

Los Angeles Clippers vs. Golden State Warriors Free Pick 03/10/20

Pacific Division foes will clash when the Golden State Warriors (15-49) go head-to-head with the Los Angeles Clippers (43-20) at the Chase Center. Action starts at 10:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, March 10, 2020.

Los Angeles Clippers at Golden State Warriors Betting Preview

In the Clippers’ last outing, they lost to the Los Angeles Lakers, 112-103, despite being 2.5-point favorites. With 31 points on 9-for-16 shooting, Paul George was the game’s leading scorer. The Lakers had a better turnover percentage (10.8 vs. 12.8). The Clippers, on the other hand, had an offensive rebounding percentage of 29.4 (above their season average of 23.9). The two teams combined to score 215 points, which came in under the projected point total of 226.5.

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The Warriors hope to keep it rolling after topping the Philadelphia 76ers in their last game, 118-114, as 4-point underdogs. Golden State rallied around Marquese Chriss, who had 13 points, 10 rebounds and eight assists. Golden State played a nearly flawless game. They had a ridiculously low turnover percentage of 7.0 (better than their season average of 12.8) and a free throw rate of 0.263 (above their season average of 0.210). Philadelphia was 10.5 and 0.226, respectively, for those same stats. The two squads collectively scored 232 points, which came in over the O/U total of 219.5.

Golden State might struggle to find the bottom of the net as they square off against one of the league’s best defenses. Los Angeles currently ranks fifth in defensive efficiency while the Warriors rank 30th in offensive efficiency.

Of Los Angeles’ 63 games, 36 have finished under the O/U total, while 35 of Golden State’s 64 games have finished under the projected point total. Looking at straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records, the Clippers have a clear advantage. They are 43-20 SU and 33-29-1 ATS, while the Warriors are 15-49 SU and 30-33-1 ATS.

These two teams have already met twice this season, with the Clippers winning both. Kawhi Leonard scored a game-high 36 points in the most recent game, in which the Clippers defeated the Warriors 109-100 but were not able to cover as 14.5-point favorites. He also had nine rebounds and five assists. The two teams combined to put up 209 points, which was 8 points below the projected point total of 217 points. Los Angeles had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.554 vs. 0.427). Golden State, on the other hand, had a much better turnover percentage (8.5 vs. 16.9).

Los Angeles Clippers vs. Golden State Warriors Odds Prediction

Pick: SU Winner – Clippers, ATS Winner – Clippers, O/U – Under

Notes

Betting Notes:

The Clippers rank eighth in points off turnovers per game (17.6) while the Warriors rank 26th in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.0).

Los Angeles averages 14.1 fast break points per game, which ranks 11th in the NBA. Golden State ranks 23rd in fast break points allowed per game (15.0).

Los Angeles ranks 12th in points in the paint per game (48.7) while Golden State ranks 28th (43.8).

Golden State is 13-19-1 ATS at home, while Los Angeles is 16-15 ATS on the road.

The Clippers have 19 unders and 12 overs in 31 road games.

Of the Warriors’ 33 home games, they have 18 unders and 15 overs.

In games where they allow less than 100 points, Golden State is 6-2 and Los Angeles is 17-0.

When scoring above 100 points, the Warriors are 15-32 and the Clippers are 41-15.

The Warriors rank seventh in steals per game (8.3) while the Clippers rank 20th in steals allowed per game (7.9).

Los Angeles averages 48.0 rebounds per game, which ranks third in the league. Golden State ranks 26th in rebounds allowed per game (46.5).

The Clippers rank fourth in second chance points per game (14.3) while the Warriors rank 24th (12.0).

The Warriors rank 20th in three pointers allowed per game (34.6) while the Clippers rank 25th (35.2).

Los Angeles ranks eighth in assists allowed per game (23.5) while Golden State ranks 28th (26.1).

Bettings Trends:

Golden State is 4-1 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders in its last five games.

Across its last five games, Los Angeles is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.

The Warriors have outscored opponents by an average of 2.8 points in their last five games. On the season, Golden State has been defeated by an average of 8.5 points.

During their last five games, the Clippers have scored an average of 120.0 points per game (4.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 108.8 points per game (0.9 below their season average).

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