At 7:30 ET, the Miami Heat will host the Golden State Warriors in a non-conference matchup. The Heat are 7th in the Eastern Conference, while the Warriors are 10th in the Western Conference. Miami is favored by 1.5 points, and the over/under is 216.5.
This game will be played at the Kaseya Center in Miami and can be seen on NBCS. The Warriors are 36-34 and have lost two straight, while the Heat are 39-32 and second in the Southeast Division.
GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS VS MIAMI HEAT BETTING PICK
The Pick: Miami Heat +1.5
This game will be played at Kaseya Center at 7:30 ET on Tuesday, March 26th.
WHY BET THE MIAMI HEAT:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 111-110 in favor of the Heat.
- Our projections have Jimmy Butler finishing with Jimmy Butler points, 5 rebounds and 5 assists.
- From the field, we have the Heat finishing with a field goal percentage of 46.1% and knocking down 10 threes.
Can The Warriors Secure a Win at Miami?
Golden State is 1.5-point favorites today against the Heat, and they have gone 29-16 as the favorite this season. As the favorite, they have a scoring margin of +4.7 points per game.
On the road, the Warriors have an average scoring differential of +2.8 points per game. Their ATS record on the road is 22-11, and they are 18-15 straight up.
Golden State is 10th in the Western Conference with a record of 36-34. In their last two games, they have lost straight up and against the spread. Their ATS record for the season is 37-32.
The Warriors’ most recent game was a 114-110 loss to the Timberwolves. The O/U line for that game was 220.5, and Golden State was a 2.5-point underdog. The teams combined for 224 points.
This season, the average O/U line for the Warriors’ games is 232.2, and their games have averaged 235.2 points. Today’s O/U line is set at 216.5, and Golden State has a record of 35-34-1 on the over/under.
Heading into tonight’s game, the Warriors are 7th in the NBA in scoring at 118.3 points per game. Interestingly, they have actually scored more points on the road (118.8) than at home (117.9).
Golden State is one of the top three-point shooting teams in the league, averaging 14.8 made threes per game (2nd). In terms of overall field goal percentage, they are 16th at 47%.
When it comes to pace, the Warriors are 7th in the league at 99.9 possessions per game. In terms of assists, they are 4th at 29.1 per contest.
Coming into today’s game, the Warriors’ defense is giving up an average of 116.8 points per contest. Opponents are hitting 54.3% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 36.1% of their three-point attempts.
Can Miami Secure a Home Victory?
Miami is 39-32 this season after a 121-84 win over the Cavaliers. In the Eastern Conference, they are currently in 7th place and are 2nd in the Southeast Division.
At home, the Heat are 18-16 straight-up and 13-21 against the spread. As the underdog, they are 11-20 straight-up and 16-15 ATS.
In their games this season, the average combined scoring total is 218.4, which is higher than today’s O/U line of 216.5. Overall, Miami is 26-45 on the over/under.
Against the spread, the Heat are 33-35 for the season, going 20-14 on the road and 13-21 at home. In today’s game, they are 1.5-point underdogs.
At home, the Heat are averaging 112.2 points per game (22nd) this season. Overall, they are 27th in the league in scoring at 109.6 points per game. In terms of pace, Miami is 29th in the NBA.
One area where the Heat have struggled is in two-point shooting. They are 27th in the league in two-point shooting percentage at 52%. Overall, Miami is 23rd in field goal percentage at 46%.
When it comes to three-point shooting, the Heat are 12th in the NBA with a three-point shooting percentage of 36%. They are also 19th in made three-pointers at 12.3 per game.
The Heat’s defense is presently ranked 4th in the league, allowing an average of 108.9 points per contest. In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Heat defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 55.0% while allowing 36.3% from downtown.
