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Game one of this Eastern Conference second-round series between the Cavaliers and Celtics is set to tip off at 7:00 PM ET at TD Garden in Boston. TNT is carrying the game on TV, and the Celtics are the home team and the number one seed in the series. They are favored by 11.5 points and are at -627 on the money line. The Cavs are at +452, and the over/under line is at 208 points.

CLEVELAND CAVALIERS VS BOSTON CELTICS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Cleveland Cavaliers +11.5

This game will be played at TD Garden at 7:00 ET on Tuesday, May 7th.

WHY BET THE CLEVELAND CAVALIERS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 117-106 in favor of the Celtics.
  • Our projections have Jayson Tatum finishing with Jayson Tatum points, 8 rebounds and 5 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Celtics finishing with a field goal percentage of 48.4% and knocking down 17 threes.

Donovan Mitchell had a huge game for the Cavaliers, finishing with 39 points, nine rebounds, and five assists. He hit two threes and shot 40.7% from the field. Cleveland picked up a 106-94 win over the Magic, closing out the series in seven games. The Cavaliers won the series 4-3.

Cleveland's offense was below average, as they hit just eight threes and shot 44.2% from the field. As a team, they finished with 106 points. Caris LeVert added 15 points for the Cavaliers, while Max Strus finished with 13 points and knocked down three threes.

The Celtics are coming off a 118-84 win over the Heat, which clinched the series in five games. Boston won the series 4-1 and will now advance to the next round. Their 118 points in the win was right on the over/under line of 201.5 points.

From beyond the arc, the Celtics hit 16 threes and shot 40% as a team. Derrick White and Sam Hauser each hit five threes for Boston. Jaylen Brown also added 25 points for the Celtics.

Can the Cavaliers Pull Off a Road Win?

In their last game, the Cavaliers defeated the Magic by a score of 106-94. The over/under line for that game was 195.5, and the teams combined for 200 points.

This season, the Cavaliers have an O/U record of 44-44-1, with an average over/under line of 221 points. Today's line is set at 208, and 13 of their games have had lower O/U lines than that. On average, their games have finished with 220.8 points.

Cleveland's ATS record for the season is 41-46, and they have covered the spread in their last three road games. As the underdog, their ATS record is 14-17 (19-23 on the road), and they are 11-21 as the underdog straight-up.

For the season, the Cavaliers have gone 48-34 and are currently 4th in the Eastern Conference. Against the East, they have a record of 31-21 and are 2nd in the Central Division.

Today, the Cavaliers are 11.5-point underdogs and have gone 9 straight games as the underdog. Their ATS record as the underdog is 14-17, and they are 11-21 straight-up as the underdog.

Donovan Mitchell is averaging 29.6 points per game over his last five games while shooting 45.7% from the field. In these games, he also averaged 5 rebounds and 4.8 assists. Darius Garland is averaging 15 points per game in his last five games while hitting 43.3% of his shots from the field. In these games, he averaged 5.2 assists.

Cleveland's offense is averaging 112.6 points per game this season, which is 23rd in the NBA. On the road, they are at 109.3 points per game, compared to 113.3 at home. The team's field goal percentage for the season is 13th in the league, and they are 10th in three-pointers made.

So far this season, the Cleveland Cavaliers have been a top-10 defense, allowing just 109.4 points per game, which is 7th in the NBA. They have been especially good at defending the three-point line, allowing opponents to shoot just 36.6% from beyond the arc, which is 10th in the league.

When playing on the road, the Cavaliers have been even better, giving up just 110.0 points per contest, which is 5th in the NBA. Over their last five games, Cleveland has been even stingier, allowing just 106.6 points per game, which is 9th in the league during that stretch.

Overall, opponents have scored less than their season average in 69.5% of games against the Cavaliers. However, teams have shot 45.1% from three-point range against Cleveland this season.

Can the Celtics Grab a Win at Home?

Today, the Celtics are favored by 11.5 points against the Cavaliers. This season, Boston has been favored in 83 of their 82 games and have gone 66-17 in those games. As the favorite, they have won three straight games and have an average scoring margin of +12.3 points per game.

In terms of their ATS record, the Celtics are 45-38 for the season and have covered the spread in three straight games. At home, their ATS record is 24-18, and their average scoring margin vs. the spread is +15.2 points per game.

This season, the Celtics have an O/U record of 45-41-1, with an average over/under line of 227.8. In their games, the average combined scoring total is 228.1 points per game.

In their last game, the Celtics defeated the Heat by a score of 118-84. The O/U line for that game was 201.5, and Boston covered the spread (-13.5).

Boston is currently in 1st place in the Eastern Conference with a record of 64-18. Against other Eastern Conference teams, they are 41-11 and 23-7 against the West. The Celtics have won three straight games and are 29-14 on the road compared to 39-5 at home.

Looking at the Celtics' three-point shooting numbers, they are averaging 16.5 made threes per game, which is the best mark in the league. They are also leading the league in three-point attempts, putting up 42.5 shots per contest. Overall, the team is shooting 38% from beyond the arc. This season, the Celtics are the second-highest scoring team in the league, averaging 120.6 points per game.

Jaylen Brown is averaging 22.8 points per game in his last five games while hitting 52.2% of his shots from the field. Over his last five games, Jayson Tatum is averaging 21.8 points and 10.4 rebounds. Derrick White is averaging 22.4 points per game in his last five games on 57.7% shooting.

When it comes to defense, the Celtics are one of the best in the NBA, ranking 4th in points allowed per game at 108.3. This season, opponents have scored less than their season average in 72% of games against Boston. In terms of three-point shooting, teams have made more threes than their season average in 52.4% of games vs. Boston.

On the season, the Celtics have been one of the best at defending the paint, ranking 3rd in two-point shooting percentage allowed at 51.9%. They are also 2nd in blocked shots per game at 6.6. When it comes to personal fouls, Boston is 29th in the league.

In their last five games, opposing teams have shot just 44% from the field against the Celtics. During this stretch, Boston is 5th in three-point shooting percentage allowed at 31.1%. They have also done a good job of not fouling, giving up just 9.8 made free throws per game.