The Florida State Seminoles (+18) aren’t traveling far to take on the No. 8 Florida Gators at Florida Field at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium. The opening kickoff for this important matchup is pegged for 7:30 p.m. ET and fans can catch it live by tuning in to SEC Network.
Florida State vs. No. 8 Florida Betting Odds 11/30/2019
Florida is giving up 18 points in this game. The Seminoles are currently receiving +800 moneyline odds while the Gators are -1450. The over/under is set at 53.5 points. On the surface it appears that there should be some good in-game betting possibilities for this match.
The opening line was -17 while the O/U hasn’t changed after it was initially established at 53.5.
The Seminoles are 6-5 straight up (SU) while the Gators are 9-2 SU. The Seminoles are down 2.6 units so far in 2019 and 4-6-1 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an O/U record of 5-6.
The surprising Gators have gained 4.2 units this season. They’re 5-3-2 ATS and have an O/U record of 4-6.
Each team enters this contest on a two-game unbeaten streak. The Seminoles are coming off a resounding 49-12 victory over Alabama State on November 16. the Seminoles completed 16-of-29 passes for 317 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. James Blackman went 13-for-22 for 246 yards, three touchdowns and one interception while Jordan Travis completed three-of-seven for 71 yards. Khalan Laborn (55 yards on 12 rush attempts, two TDs) led the ground attack while Tamorrion Terry (four receptions, 90 yards, one TD) and Tre’Shaun Harrison (three catches, 94 yards, one TD) shared the receiving duties in the win.
Florida enters this one having just earned a 23-6 win over Missouri back in Week 12. The defense did its job in the victory, holding the Tigers to only 204 passing yards and 52 yards on the ground. Jonathan Nance had a productive showing in the loss for Missouri, recording 58 yards on four catches. For Florida, Kyle Trask completed 23-of-35 passes for 282 yards and two touchdowns. Trask (-17 rushing yards on six attempts) mounted the running game as Van Jefferson (six receptions, 82 yards) and Pitts (four catches, 38 yards) led the Florida pass-catchers in the win.
Florida State has run the ball on 51.1 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Florida has a rush percentage of 47.1 percent. The Seminoles have rushed for 140 yards per game and have 21 scores on the ground this year. The Gators are totaling 124 rushing yards per contest and have 17 total rush TDs.
If 2019 results are any indication, then it appears the Gators might hold an edge when it comes to effectiveness in the ground game. Their running backs has produced 4.0 yards per carry while their defense has allowed 3.3 yards per rush attempt to opponents. The Seminoles have recorded 3.9 yards per carry while allowing a YPC of 3.7 to opponents.
The Noles have tallied 277 yards per game in the air overall and have 23 passing scores so far. The Gators have recorded 292 pass yards per game and have 28 total pass TDs.
Defensively, Florida State has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 159 yards and throw for 274 yards per game. Florida has been significantly better than that, allowing 110.5 rushing yards per game and 193 to opposing teams in the air. The Gators are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 3.87 to opposing QBs, while the Seminoles have allowed a 6.13 ANY/A.
Blackman has amassed 1,599 passing yards this year, and has completed 138-of-217 attempts with 14 passing touchdowns and seven interceptions. Blackman’s got a 6.36 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 13.16 over the last two games.
We expect Blackman to spread the ball around early and often in this one. Tamorrion Terry (252 receiving yards and seven touchdowns), Jordan Travis (0 yards) and Tre’Shaun Harrison (252 yards, two TDs) have all been heavily involved recently.
Kyle Trask has put up 1,930 yards, 18 TDs and four INTs for Florida. His ANY/A stands at 7.67 for the season and 7.90 over his past two games.
Trevon Grimes (375 receiving yards, two receiving touchdowns on the year), Van Jefferson (444 receiving yards, four receiving TDs) and Kadarius Toney (20 rush yards, 120 receiving yards, one receiving TD) have all played big roles lately. The trio has combined for 389 total yards over the last two games.
When these two squads faced each other last year, Florida knocked off Florida State easily 41-14.
Florida State Seminoles at Florida Gators Betting Prediction
SU Winner – Florida, ATS Winner – Florida, O/U – Over
Team Betting Notes
The Seminoles offense has registered 14 pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Gators have accounted for eight such plays.
Both defenses have allowed six pass plays of 40 or more yards. The Florida State defense has given up 17 pass plays of 30+ yards while Florida has given up 10 such plays.
The Florida State offense has created 14 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Florida has created 10 such runs.
The Seminoles defense has allowed 11 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Gators have given up 13 such runs.
The Florida defensive unit has recorded 38 sacks on the year while Florida State has just 29.
Florida State has averaged 4.2 yards per rush attempt over its last three outings and 6.7 over its last two.
Florida has averaged 3.1 yards per carry over its last three contests and 3.7 over its past two.
In its last three contests, Florida is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
The O/U for Florida State’s previous game going into it was 53.5. The over cashed in the team’s 49-12 victory over Alabama State.
In its last three contests, Florida State is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
The Over/Under for Florida’s last match was set at 51.5. The under cashed in the 23-6 win over Missouri.