A couple of teams that prefer to keep the ball on the ground, Head Coach Craig Bohl and the Wyoming Cowboys (+11) are set to take on the Air Force Falcons (-11) at Falcon Stadium. This pivotal MWC game kicks off at 2:00 p.m. ET and spectators can tune in to the action on FCBK. When these two teams met a year ago, Wyoming beat Air Force 35-27.
Wyoming vs. Air Force Betting Odds 11/30/2019
The Cowboys approach this Saturday MWC game as a big underdog and are currently getting 11 points. The Cowboys are also receiving +315 moneyline odds while the Falcons are -425. If one program can find paydirt early on it will create a nice live betting opportunity. Vegas has set the over/under (O/U) at 43 points.
Both of these teams have been profitable this year as the Cowboys have gained 7.0 units while the Falcons are up 4.8 units.
The Cowboys are 7-4 straight up (SU), including 4-3 SU against conference opponents. The Falcons are 9-2 SU overall and 6-1 SU in conference play.
The Cowboys enter after a 17-7 win over Colorado State last week. The passing attack could’ve been sharper as Tyler Vander Waal completed just six passes on 13 attempts for 56 yards. Xazavian Valladay (154 rushing yards on 27 attempts) and Levi Williams (49 yards on 13 carries, one TD) led the ground attack while Austin Conway (three receptions, 35 yards) and Raghib Ismail Jr. (three catches, 24 yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.
The Air Force Falcons are coming off of a lopsided 44-22 win over New Mexico. The defense allowed the Lobos to rush for 268 yards on 43 attempts, along with one rushing TD. Tevaka Salanoa-Tuioti was a bright spot in the loss, recording 79 rushing yards on eight attempts for New Mexico. For Air Force, Donald Hammond III completed nine-of-10 passes for 327 yards and four touchdowns. Hammond III (41 rushing yards on 11 attempts, one TD) handled the running game as Geraud Sanders (five receptions, 156 yards, two TDs) and Benjamin Waters (four catches, 171 yards, two TDs) led all Air Force pass-catchers in the win.
Wyoming’s run the ball on 70 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Air Force has a rush percentage of 85.5 percent. The Cowboys have produced 217 rush yards/game (including 217 per game versus Mountain West opponents) and have 25 scores on the ground this year. The Falcons are putting up 304 rush yards per game (315 in conference) and have 36 total rushing TDs.
The Cowboys offense has tallied 130 yards/contest in the air overall (138 per game versus conference opposition) and has eight passing TDs so far. The Falcons have put up 130 pass yards per outing (138.7 in the MWC) and have 13 total pass scores.
Defensively, Wyoming has let opponents run for an average of 94 yards and throw for 276 yards per game. The Air Force D has given up 216.9 yards per game to opposing passers and 107.1 yards per game to opposing runners. The Cowboys are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.60 to opponents, while the Falcons have allowed a 7 ANY/A.
Vander Waal has put up 300 passing yards this season, and has connected on 25-of-52 attempts with one passing touchdowns and has yet to throw an interception. Vander Waal’s got a 4.41 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 0.98 over the last two outings.
We expect the Wyoming offense to mix it up in this one. Xazavian Valladay (909 rushing yards, five rush TDs, one receiving touchdown on the year), Austin Conway (210 receiving yards) and Josh Harshman (153 receiving yards, two TDs) have each played significant roles lately.
Donald Hammond III has completed 42-of-82 passes for 1,039 yards, nine TDs and four INTs for Air Force. His ANY/A sits at 11.83 for the year and 26.10 over his last two outings.
As a trio, Benjamin Waters, Geraud Sanders and Kadin Remsberg have collectively accounted for 577 yards from scrimmage and seven touchdowns the last couple of outings.
Wyoming Cowboys vs. Air Force Falcons Free Prediction
SU Winner – Air Force, ATS Winner – Air Force, O/U – Under
The Cowboys offense has recorded five pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Falcons have put up 12 such plays.
The Wyoming defense has allowed six pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Air Force has given up four such plays.
The Wyoming offense has created 24 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Air Force has created 20 such runs.
Both defenses have allowed five rushing plays of 20 or more yards. The Cowboys have given up 36 running plays of 10+ yards while the Falcons have given up 28 such plays.
The Wyoming D has sacked opposing quarterbacks 31 times this year. Air Force has recorded just 23 sacks.
Wyoming has averaged 3.5 yards per carry over its last three games and 3.8 over its last two.
Air Force has averaged 5.1 yards per carry over its last three outings and 4.6 over its last two.
Over its last three games, Air Force is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
The Over/Under for Wyoming’s previous game was set at 51. The under cashed in the team’s 17-7 win over Colorado State.
Over its last three matchups, Wyoming is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.
The Over/Under for Air Force’s previous match was set at 57.5. The over cashed in the team’s 44-22 triumph over New Mexico.