The Miami (FL) Hurricanes (-8) are heading north to face the Duke Blue Devils at Brooks Field at Wallace Wade Stadium. This ACC showdown kicks off at 3:30 p.m. ET and ESPN2 is scheduled to televise the action. When the two squads faced each other a year ago, Duke emerged victorious by a score of 20-12.
Miami (FL) vs. Duke Betting Odds 11/30/2019
Duke is projected as the underdog and is currently getting 8 points in this Saturday ACC game. The Hurricanes are also receiving -340 moneyline odds while the Blue Devils are +260. If one team can create a bunch of points early it’ll create a decent betting opportunity in-game. Oddsmakers have determined the over/under (O/U) to be 47.5 points.
The total hasn’t changed after it was set initially at 47.5. Having said that, the line opened at 7 and the sharp action has been siding with the Hurricanes.
The hapless Hurricanes are down 20.6 units so far and 6-5 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an Over-Under record of 6-5.
The Blue Devils have lost 6.0 units this season. The team is 3-6-2 ATS and owns an O/U record of 8-3.
The Hurricanes have gone 6-5 straight up (SU), including 4-3 SU against ACC opponents. The Blue Devils are 4-7 SU overall and are also 2-5 SU in conference play.
The Hurricanes hope to get back on track after a 30-24 loss to FIU last week. Jarren Williams completed only 19-of-36 passes for 249 yards, two touchdowns and three interceptions. Cam’Ron Harris (86 rushing yards on 11 attempts, one TD) and DeeJay Dallas (50 yards on nine carries) spearheaded the running attack while Will Mallory (four receptions, 71 yards) and K.J. Osborn (three catches, 25 yards) manned the receiving duties in the defeat.
On November 23, Wake Forest knocked off this Duke team by a score of 39-27. The Blue Devils defensive unit let the Demon Deacons run for 334 yards on 66 rush attempts, including three rush TDs. Kendall Hinton shredded the defense, putting up 189 yards and a score on six catches for Wake Forest. For Duke, Quentin Harris completed 14-of-23 passes for 163 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Harris (39 rushing yards on 14 attempts) and Mataeo Durant (71 yards on seven carries) handled the running game as Noah Gray (seven receptions, 76 yards, one TD) and Aaron Young (two catches, five yards) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.
Miami (FL) has run the ball on 47.9 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Duke has a rush percentage of 55.9 percent. The Hurricanes have rushed for 124 yards per game (including 115 per game versus Atlantic Coast opponents) and have 15 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Blue Devils are logging 152 rushing yards per game (148 in conference) and have 14 total rush TDs.
It appears that the Hurricanes could hold an advantage in all aspects of the ground game, since their backfield has logged 4.0 yards per carry while their defense is allowing 3.1 YPC to opponents. The Blue Devils have tallied 3.7 yards per carry and given up 4.5 YPC to opponents.
The Hurricanes offensive scheme has logged 266 yards/contest through the air overall (268 per game against conference opposition) and has 26 passing scores so far. The Blue Devils have produced 181 pass yards per outing (170.9 in the ACC) and have 17 total pass TDs.
Defensively, Miami (FL) has let opponents run for an average of 108 yards and throw for 201 yards per game. The Duke D has allowed 202.5 yards per game to opposing passers and 188.1 yards per game to opposing runners. The Hurricanes are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.08 to opponents, while the Blue Devils have allowed a 6 ANY/A.
Williams is up to 1,698 passing yards this season. He’s connected on 134-of-208 attempts with 12 passing touchdowns and six interceptions. Williams has a 6.50 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 8.21 over the past two outings.
The Hurricanes will probably try to control tempo by getting the ball into the hands of their running backs. The duo of Cam’Ron Harris (423 rush yards, four rush TDs, 97 receiving yards, one receiving TD) and DeeJay Dallas (597 rush yards, seven rush TDs, one receiving TD) have been focal points in the offensive scheme for Miami (FL).
Quentin Harris has completed 180-of-297 passes for 1,765 yards, 15 TDs and nine INTs for Duke. His ANY/A stands at an ultra-pedestrian 4.95 for the year and 2.46 over his last two outings.
The Blue Devils should also look to control the clock by turning to their backfield. Along with Noah Gray (342 receiving yards, three receiving TDs), Mataeo Durant (348 rush yards, one rush TD, one receiving TD) and Deon Jackson (565 rush yards, five rush TDs, 175 receiving yards, two TDs) have gotten plenty of action recently.
Miami (FL) Hurricanes at Duke Blue Devils NCAA Pick
SU Winner – Miami (FL), ATS Winner – Miami (FL), O/U – Over
The Duke offense has lost 13 fumbles this season while Miami (FL) has let five get away.
The Miami (FL) defense has sacked opposing quarterbacks 37 times this season. Duke has recorded just 26 sacks.
Miami (FL) has averaged 4.6 yards per rush attempt across its last three games and 5.7 over its last two.
Duke has averaged 3.2 yards per carry over its last three contests and 3.3 over its last two.
In its last three matches, Duke is 0-3 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
The Over/Under for Miami (FL)’s last game going into it was 52.5. The over cashed in the team’s 30-24 loss to FIU.
Over its last three contests, Miami (FL) is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
The O/U for Duke’s last game was 50. The over cashed in the team’s 39-27 loss to Wake Forest.
Duke has dropped seven of its last eight games SU, with an 18-point triumph over Georgia Tech on October 12th representing its lone win over that span.