Planning on watching today’s Rams and Lobos game? Catch the action at Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas, NV, as the Lobos hosts this showdown at 11:59 ET on CBSS. The over/under for this game is set at 149.5 points, and New Mexico is favored by -2.5 vs. Colorado State in a Mountain West conference matchup.


The Pick: New Mexico Lobos -2.5

This game will be played at Thomas & Mack Center at 11:59 ET on Friday, March 15th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Lobos.
  • Not only will New Mexico pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -2.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 149.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Will Colorado State Find a Way to Win on the Road?

Colorado State has been much better at home this season, going 16-2 compared to just 7-7 on the road. The Rams’ average scoring margin at home is +11.7, compared to +2.1 on the road.

As the underdog, Colorado State is 3-5 this season, and they are 22-9 overall. They have won four straight games, and their record in Mountain West play is 12-8.

As the underdog, Colorado State has gone 4-4 vs. the spread this season and they have an overall ATS mark of 17-15. On the road, the Rams are 7-7 ATS this year and they are 3-7 in their last 10 road games vs. the spread. In their last three games as the underdog, Colorado State is 2-1 ATS.

Today’s over/under line of 149.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Colorado State’s games this season (146 points). So far, 20 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1.

In their recent matchup, the Colorado State offense ended with 85 points against Nevada. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 50% and made 7 threes. On the offensive front, the Rams have a season-long field goal percentage of 49%, ranking 31st nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 201st in terms of percentage and 184th in three-pointers made.

Currently, the Rams’ defense holds the 75th rank in the nation, allowing 68.2 points per game. The Colorado State defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 78 points and allowed Nevada to connect on 5 threes.

Can the New Mexico Offense Score Enough at Home?

As the Lobos get set to take on Colorado State, they come in as the favorite, and they have been very good in that role this season. Overall, they are 21-4 as the favorite, and at home, they are 13-3. Their average scoring margin at home is +15.8, and they come in on a two-game win streak.

For the season, New Mexico has a record of 22-9, and they are 11-8 in Mountain West play. They have been excellent at home, going 7-3 in their last 10 games, and they are 3-2 in their last five.

As the favorite, New Mexico has an ATS record of 18-7 this season and they have gone 6-4 vs. the spread in their last 10 games when favored. At home, the Lobos have an ATS mark of 11-5 this year and they are 5-4 in their last 10 home games vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record for New Mexico games is 17-14. Today’s over/under line of 149.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Lobos’ games this year (153.1). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total in those games is 150 points.

Coming off their recent game, the New Mexico offense tallied 76 points in a matchup against Boise State. Their field goal percentage for the game was 43.8%, and they made 5 threes. One area that the New Mexico offense has been good this season is getting to the line. Currently, they are 65th in free-throw attempts per contest. Overall, they have a field goal percentage of 46%.

At this time, the Lobos’ defense is positioned 139th in the country, permitting 71.1 points per game. In their most recent game, the New Mexico defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as Boise State knocked down 10 three-pointers on their way to 66 points.