At 8:00 ET, the Miami Heat (-254) will host the Atlanta Hawks (+210) in a Southeast divisional matchup. The Heat (-6.5) are favored by 6.5 points, and the over/under line is currently set at 228.5 points.

The Hawks (17-23) are currently 10th in the Eastern Conference, while the Heat (24-17) are 6th. Atlanta has won two straight games, and Miami is 1st in the Southeast Division.


The Pick: Atlanta Hawks +6.5

This game will be played at Kaseya Center at 8:00 ET on Friday, January 19th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 116-113 in favor of the Hawks.
  • Our projections have Trae Young finishing with Trae Young points, 3 rebounds and 10 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Hawks finishing with a field goal percentage of 47.2% and knocking down 12 threes.

Are Atlanta Ready for a Road Win?

Today, the Hawks are looking to extend their winning streak to three games as they take on the Heat. Currently, Atlanta is 17-23 on the season and is in 10th place in the Eastern Conference.

In their most recent game, the Hawks defeated the Magic by a score of 106-104. The O/U line for that game was 229 points, and Atlanta was favored by 4. However, the Hawks did not cover the spread.

This season, the Hawks have an ATS record of 10-30, including a mark of 6-15 ATS on the road. As the underdog, they are 5-13 ATS on the road and have failed to cover the spread in their last three games as the underdog.

On the season, the Hawks have an O/U record of 22-18, and the under has hit in their last four games. Today’s O/U line of 228.5 is lower than the season average of 240.7 for Atlanta.

In the Eastern Conference, the Hawks are 11-19 against other teams in the East and 6-4 in non-conference games. As the underdog, Atlanta has a record of 5-13 this season.

When it comes to scoring, the Hawks are one of the top offensive teams in the league, averaging 121 points per game (4th). On the road, they are averaging 120.3 points per game (3rd).

Atlanta has outscored the NBA scoring average in 62.5% of their games this season. However, they have scored less than their own scoring average in their last four games.

So far this season, the Hawks have been one of the better three-point shooting teams in the league. They are 7th in made threes per game (13.7) and 6th in three-point attempts (37.9).

So far, the Hawks defense is giving up 123.0 points per contest, which has them sitting 28th in the NBA. One thing to note, is they have given up more points than their season average in two straight matchups. Atlanta’s defense is currently forcing 13.3 turnovers per game, which is 20th in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 22nd in blocked shots, with an average of 4.6 rejections per game.

Will Miami Pull Through as the Favored Home Team?

Miami is favored by 6.5 points today and has gone 18-6 as the favorite this season. In their games as the favorite, the Heat have an average scoring margin of +2.3 points per game. As the favorite, they are 11-11 against the spread.

In the Eastern Conference, Miami is currently in 6th place with a record of 24-17. In the Southeast Division, they are in 1st place. At home, the Heat are 12-7 compared to 12-10 on the road.

The Heat’s O/U record for the season is 18-23, and the under has hit in their last four games. On average, their games have finished with 222.4 points per game, which is lower than today’s O/U line of 228.5.

In their most recent game, the Heat lost to the Raptors by a score of 121-97. Miami was favored by 3 points in that game, giving them an ATS loss. The O/U line for that game was 225.5.

At home this season, the Heat are averaging 115.5 points per game, which is 19th in the NBA. Overall, Miami is 26th in scoring at 111.5 points per game.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Heat are 7th in the league at 37%. They are also 6th in free throws made per game at 19.5.

In terms of pace, Miami is 28th in the NBA, averaging 96.7 possessions per game. This season, the Heat have outscored the league average in 39% of their games.

Currently, the Heat’s defense holds the 4th rank in the NBA, allowing 110.9 points per game. When it comes to defending inside the arc, the Heat squad is permitting opposing teams to shoot at a clip of 55.7% inside the arc, and they’re also giving up 36.3% from downtown.