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Tip-off for this Eastern Conference first-round series between the Magic and Cavaliers is set for 1:00 PM ET at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse in Cleveland. Cleveland is favored by three points at home and is -158 on the money line. Orlando is +132, and the over/under line is 194.5 points. This series is tied at three games apiece, and the winner of this game wins the series. You can catch the game on ABC.

ORLANDO MAGIC VS CLEVELAND CAVALIERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Cleveland Cavaliers -3

This game will be played at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse at 1:00 ET on Sunday, May 5th.

WHY BET THE CLEVELAND CAVALIERS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 112-106 in favor of the Cavaliers.
  • Our projections have Donovan Mitchell finishing with Donovan Mitchell points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Cavaliers finishing with a field goal percentage of 47.7% and knocking down 16 threes.

Orlando pulled off the upset in the most recent game of this Cavaliers vs. Magic series, winning by a score of 103-96. The Magic were 4.5-point favorites heading into the game, and they covered the spread by 7 points. The over/under line for the game was 200.5 points, and the Magic and Cavaliers came up just short of that mark with a combined 199 points.

Orlando's defense was able to hold the Cavaliers to just 18 points in the 4th quarter. Cleveland also struggled from beyond the arc, making just seven threes on 25% shooting. Donovan Mitchell had a big game for the Cavs, scoring 50 points, but it wasn't enough. Paolo Banchero and Franz Wagner combined for 53 points for the Magic.

Will the Magic Win on the Road?

Orlando is 18-29 as the underdog this season and has lost four straight games as the underdog. Today, they are getting three points against the Cavaliers. In games where they are the underdog, the Magic have a scoring differential of -3.8 points per game.

On the road, Orlando is 24-20 ATS and has an average scoring differential of -3.8 points per game. As the underdog, they are 26-21 ATS and have covered the spread in their last four games.

The Magic are 40-48 on the over/under this season, with an average over/under line of 220 points. In their games this season, the average combined scoring total is 217.3 points.

In their most recent game, the Magic defeated the Cavaliers by a score of 103-96. Orlando covered the spread as 4.5-point favorites and the game finished with an O/U line of 200.5.

Orlando's overall record this season is 47-35, which is good for 5th place in the Eastern Conference. Against the East, they are 32-20 and 9-7 in the Southeast Division.

Orlando comes into the game as the league's top team in terms of free-throw attempts per game, at 25.2. However, they are near the bottom of the league in three-point shooting, averaging just 9.1 makes per game. Overall, they are 26th in scoring, at 110.5 points per contest.

Paolo Banchero has averaged 25.4 points per game in the Magic's last five games, hitting 47.1% of his shots from the field. Over this stretch, he also averaged 7.4 rebounds and 4.2 assists. In these games, Franz Wagner has put up 21.6 points and 16 points per game on 50.9% shooting.

As a team, the Magic have been one of the best defensive units in the league this season, allowing just 107.5 points per game, which is the second-best mark in the NBA. Over their last five games, they have been even better, giving up just 93.6 points per game, which is the third-best mark over that span.

One of the strengths of the Magic defense has been their ability to defend the three-point line. On the season, they are allowing opponents to shoot just 35.1% from beyond the arc, which is the third-best mark in the NBA. Over their last five games, they have been even better in that area, holding opponents to just 27.6% shooting from three.

Overall, opponents have scored less than their season average in 76.8% of their games vs. the Magic this season. Also, teams have made fewer threes than their season average in 70.7% of their games vs. Orlando this season.

Will Cleveland Find a Way to Win at Home?

The Cavaliers have gone 40-16 as the favorite this season and are favored by 3 points today. As the favorite, they are 26-29 against the spread and have covered the spread in three straight games.

Cleveland's O/U record for the season is 43-44-1, and their games have averaged 221 points per game. Today's O/U line is 194.5, and 88 of their games have had higher over/under lines than that.

In their most recent game against the Magic, the Cavaliers lost by a score of 103-96. They were 4.5-point underdogs going into the game and are 11-21 as the underdog this season. The combined scoring in that game was 199 points.

The Cavs are currently 4th in the Eastern Conference with a record of 48-34. In the Central Division, they are in 2nd place. At home, the Cavaliers are 29-15 compared to 22-22 on the road.

Cleveland's ATS record for the season is 40-46, including a 21-23 record at home and 19-23 on the road. They have failed to cover the spread in their last four games.

Overall, the Cavaliers are 23rd in scoring, at 112.6 points per game. When playing at home, they have been slightly better, at 113.4 points per contest. Cleveland's three-point shooting percentage is 19th in the league, and they are 10th in made threes per game. For the season, the Cavaliers are 27th in both free throw attempts and makes.

Donovan Mitchell has averaged 26.4 points per game over his last five games. In these games, he hit 45.9% of his shots from the field. Darius Garland has hit 44% of his threes in his last five games and is averaging 15.6 points in that stretch. For the season, Evan Mobley is averaging 15.7 points and 9.4 rebounds.

So far this season, the Cavaliers have been one of the best defensive teams in the NBA, ranking 7th in points allowed per game at 109.6. They have been especially tough at home, where they are giving up just 109.2 points per game, which is 6th best in the league.

One area where the Cavaliers have excelled defensively is in their ability to defend the three-point line. On the season, opponents are shooting just 36.6% from beyond the arc vs. Cleveland, which is 10th best in the NBA. In terms of three-pointers made per game allowed, they are also 10th best in the league at 12.4.

Over their last five games, the Cavaliers have been even better on the defensive end, ranking 8th in points allowed at 105. During that stretch, opponents have made just 33.3% of their three-point attempts vs. Cleveland.