The Mets (67-78, 37-34 home) will host the Diamondbacks (76-71, 38-36 away) in game four of this National League series. Starting for the Mets is Kodai Senga, while the Diamondbacks are giving the ball to Merrill Kelly. Read on to see my pick for this showdown between New York Mets and Arizona Diamondbacks.
ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks +103
This game will be played at Citi Field at 4:10 ET on Thursday, September 14th.
WHY BET THE ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS:
- Coming into the game, the Mets have gone just 4-6 in their last ten home games.
- Over their last ten games as the favorite, the Mets are just 4-6 (straight-up).
- The Diamondbacks have gone 1-2 in Kodai Senga’s last five starts.
ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS LOOK TO CONTINUE WINNING WAYS ON THE ROAD
Arizona’s overall record currently stands at 76-71, placing them 2nd in the NL West. The Diamondbacks will look to extend their current series winning streak to 49 and have an overall series record of 26-18-4. At home, Arizona is 38-35 and 38-36 on the road.
Merrill Kelly has been impressive in 26 appearances this season, boasting an ERA of 3.16 and an 11-6 record. As he takes the mound against the Mets, he will look to extend his streak of not allowing a home-run to five games. Opponents have managed a .356 slugging percentage and .216 batting average against him thus far.
In his most recent outing against the Cubs, Merrill Kelly allowed one run on four hits over 5 2/3 innings. Although he didn’t receive a decision, Kelly’s performance aided the Diamondbacks in their 3-2 victory.
With a season-long average of 4.6 runs per game, the Diamondbacks are the 13th ranked scoring offense this season. As a team, they are batting .252, with an OBP of .323. In Arizona’s last ten games, they are 15th in home runs, having gone deep six times in that span.
Tommy Pham has been the Diamondbacks’ most consistent hitter over the last five games, leading the team with a .377 batting average. During this span, he has also tallied an impressive 62 RBIs. For the season, Pham is hitting at a .266 clip and is proving to be an invaluable asset for Arizona’s offense.
WILL THE NEW YORK METS TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?
Coming in with an overall record of 67-78, the Mets are winners of three straight games. Through 47 series, they are 16-25-6 and in 4th place in the NL East. At home, they have gone 37-34 compared to 30-44 on the road.
Kodai Senga will take the mound for the Mets with an impressive 10-7 record. He has made 26 appearances this season, boasting a 3.07 ERA and .202 batting average allowed. Opponents have walked 70 times against him, while he has struck out 181 batters. His WHIP stands at 1.23 and SLG allowed is .314.
Kodai Senga was unable to secure a victory in his most recent start, allowing two runs over six innings. Despite the quality start, the Mets were defeated by the Twins 5-2.
The Mets have been one of the top power lineups in the league of late, having hit 8 home runs over their last five games. Compared to other clubs, this is 3rd best in that span. For the season, they are ranked 11th in home runs and 14th in slugging percentage. Overall, New York is averaging 4.4 runs per game (20th).
Brandon Nimmo has been a force for the New York Mets this season, boasting a .265 batting average and slugging .458. In the team’s last ten games, Nimmo has been especially impressive, leading the Mets in hits and batting .306.