One lucky PGA Tour winner will be the cock of the walk this week in Jackson, Mississippi for the Sanderson Farms Championship. A rooster sits atop the trophy given to the winner at the Country Club of Jackson for what used to be an alternate event to the HSBC Champions event in Asia.
The 2019 event was a standalone September event and this one will be a standalone October event as the third event of the 2020-21 PGA Tour season. Even though it is a full points event this time around, we still have another weak field in advance of two tournaments in the Las Vegas area.
We’ll break it all down for you with odds from MyBookie Sportsbook and you can find the full field odds down below the tournament preview.
Scottie Scheffler is back from his bout with COVID-19 and he is immediately installed as the tournament favorite. Louis Oosthuizen and 2019 runner-up Sungjae Im are both priced at +1200. Last week’s favorite, Will Zalatoris, who is having a great season on the Korn Ferry Tour, is the only other player priced in the teens.
Reigning champion Sebastian Munoz is +2800 and last year’s third-place finisher Byeong Hun An is one of several notable names in the +3000 range, including great ball strikers like Doc Redman and Corey Conners. Chez Reavie and Zach Johnson are a couple of veterans with good chances this week per the odds.
Henrik Stenson is also on the board at +5000 as he tries to round into form for some of the bigger events coming up. This is not a great field, but there are some notable names.
This is a par 72 around 7,500 yards. This is a pretty wide-open, so errant tee shots won’t go out of bounds or leave players with bad lies. The biggest concerns are the trees that line most of the fairways. You just have to hope that you don’t butt right up against the trunk of one of them.
Even though this course doesn’t seem too daunting, only 11 of the 18 holes played under par last season. Some of the par 4s do have some length and will punish players that get too aggressive with their second shots. Generally speaking, the lofted clubs are the most important here. You can get away with being marginal off the tee if you hit good second shots and/or scramble well.
The green complexes are pretty small on this course, so putting can play a definite factor in that you want to two-putt as few of these holes as possible. Basically, it comes down to birdies on the par 5s and the shorter par 4s.
Yay or Neigh?
With our horse for course section, we look at past results to see how guys feel about this course. Over the last five years, only three players have two top-10 finishes. Carlos Ortiz was fourth last year and third in 2019. DJ Trahan was seventh in 2019 and 10th in 2016. He missed the cut the other three years. Patton Kizzire was 10th in 2018 and fourth in 2016. He also has two missed cuts within the last five years.
As is often the case with these alternate events or lower-tier tournaments, the most inconsistent players are off somewhere else or aren’t playing. We’ve got a lot of guys that hold PGA Tour cards, but don’t win much and scrape by just enough to hold their cards.
As mentioned, Sungjae Im was second here last year. Chesson Hadley was second in 2018, but he missed the cut last year and in 2017. Chris Kirk was runner-up in 2016, but also MC last time here in 2019. Luke List tied for second in 2017 and was eighth last week, so maybe he’s in decent form. Ryan Armour won here in 2018, but also has three missed cuts in his last six starts at CCJ.
Handicap & Picks
A well-rounded game is important, but strokes gained approach is once again a very important stat here, but not the only one. Strokes gained putting is important, too. Play off the tee isn’t as important, which is why some shorter hitters and older players have done well here. Still, I’m not taking a lot of those guys.
Maybe this first play isn’t a stats handicap, but Brian Harman is on my card this week at +3300. There are a few dogleg rights here, which should help Harman’s shot shape as one of the few lefties on the PGA Tour these days. Harman was 14th here last year in his first start and finished 10th in SG: Tee-to-Green and fifth in SG: Approach. He didn’t putt overly well, but wasn’t bad on these greens for the first time. Harman had a couple of top-15 finishes in The Northern Trust and the BMW Championship, so his form is decent.
Patrick Rodgers was on the card last week in Punta Cana and I’ll put him on the card again here at +6000. Rodgers was 61st last year, but 14th the year prior and 20th in 2016. He was 11th last week on the island. Rodgers is a quality putter and a guy that finished in the top 15 in SG: Putting last season. This is another course where putting matters and Rodgers is a pretty good ball striker relative to a lot of the other guys that putt well, but don’t do anything else very well.
Spread some bets around. Guys like Pat Perez and Adam Long are in pretty good form. We may even get a winner from way down the board. I like Harman and Rodgers the most, but may look at Perez and Long as the week goes along, especially in matchups.
Golf Channel and PGA Tour Live have you covered for this weekend’s action.
Odds from MyBookie Sportsbook as of 3:30 p.m. ET on 9/28:
|SI WOO KIM||+4500|
|RAFA CABRERA BELLO||+7000|
|KYOUNG HOON LEE||+22500|
|TED POTTER JR||+50000|
|BO VAN PELT||+75000|