Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Trojans versus the Wildcats? Tip off is at at 3:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on PACN. The game will be played at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV. This Pac-12 conference matchup has an over/under of 156.5 points, and Arizona is favored to win by -8.5 at home vs. USC.


The Pick: USC Trojans +8.5

This game will be played at T-Mobile Arena at 3:00 ET on Thursday, March 14th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Wildcats.
  • Even though we have Arizona winning straight-up, we like USC at +8.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 156.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Will the USC Defense Show Up on the Road?

USC enters this game as 8.5-point underdogs, and they have gone just 3-11 as underdogs this season. They are coming off a 78-65 win over Arizona, and they have won three straight games.

On the road this season, the Trojans have gone 4-10, and over their last 10 road games, they have gone just 3-7. For the year, they are 14-17, and in Pac-12 play, they are 8-12.

As the underdog, USC has gone 6-8 vs. the spread this season and 15-16 overall. However, their ATS mark has improved recently as they are 3-0 in their last 3 road games and 4-1 in their last 5 on the road. Against the spread as the underdog, the Trojans are 5-5 in their last 10.

USC’s over/under record for the season is 19-11-1, and today’s over/under line of 156.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (147.9). So far, 22 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s OU line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1.

In their recent matchup, the USC offense ended with 78 points against Arizona. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 49.1% and made 6 threes. DJ Rodman led the scoring for the Trojans, contributing 19 points. Additionally, Kobe Johnson chipped in with 19 points.

Coming into today’s game, the USC defense is giving up an average of 74.5 points per contest. USC’s three-point defense is currently 220th in the country at 8.5 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 43.3% of their shots vs. USC.

Can Arizona Lock in a Home Win?

Arizona enters tonight’s game as the favorite, as they have been in 29 of their 31 games this season. They are 22-7 in those games, and they will look to bounce back from a 78-65 loss to USC in their last game. The Wildcats have been dominant at home this season, going 16-1 with an average scoring margin of +26.2 points per game.

Overall, Arizona has a record of 24-7, including a 15-5 mark in Pac-12 play. They have gone 9-2 in non-conference games, and they have a scoring differential of +4.3 points per game on the road this season.

Arizona has an ATS record of 20-11 this season and they are 18-11 vs. the spread when they are favored. At home, the Wildcats have gone 12-5 vs. the spread this year and their last 10 games as the favorite have resulted in a 6-4 ATS mark.

Today’s over/under line of 156.5 points for the Arizona/USC game is lower than the average over/under line of 158.2 points in the Wildcats’ games this season. So far, 14 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1.

In contrast to their season average of 89.5 points per game, the Arizona had a below average performance. They scored 65 points against USC and had a field goal percentage of 38.7%. On the offensive front, the Wildcats have a season-long field goal percentage of 49%, ranking 32nd nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 47th in terms of percentage and 131st in three-pointers made.

Arizona’s defense is currently in line with the NCAA average for points allowed, allowing an average of 73.2 points per game. Arizona’s defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the USC offense to knock down 49% of their shots on their way to putting up 78 points.