Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Horned Frogs versus the Cougars? Tip off is at at 3:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN. The game will be played at T-Mobile Center in Kansas City, MO. The over/under for this Big 12 conference contest is set at 137.5 points, with Houston being favored by -10 at home against TCU.

TCU HORNED FROGS VS HOUSTON COUGARS BETTING PICK

The Pick: TCU Horned Frogs +10

This game will be played at T-Mobile Center at 3:00 ET on Thursday, March 14th.

WHY BET THE TCU HORNED FROGS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Cougars.
  • Even though we have Houston winning straight-up, we like TCU at +10.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 137.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Will the Horned Frogs Secure A Victory as Road Underdogs?

TCU is 20-11 this season and 9-9 in Big 12 play. As the underdog, they are 3-5 compared to 17-6 as the favorite. On the road, they are 8-5 with an average scoring margin of +3.9.

Coming off a 79-77 loss to UCF, TCU is 1-2 in their last three road games and 5-5 in their last 10.

As the underdog this season, TCU has an ATS record of 5-3. On the road, the Horned Frogs are 9-4 vs. the spread and have gone 2-1 in their last three road games.

TCU’s over/under record for the season is 17-14 and today’s over/under line of 137.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this season (148.9). So far, 25 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total in those games is 158 points.

The TCU offense is coming off a game in which they scored 77 points vs. UCF. Overall their field goal percentage was 42.1% while connecting on 8 threes. Emanuel Miller is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 16.3. Meanwhile, Jameer Nelson Jr. also brings a PPG average of 11.4 into the game.

On defense, TCU is currently around the NCAA average in points allowed, giving up an average of 71.6 points per game. In today’s game vs. Houston, the TCU defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, TCU made 21 free-throws vs. the Horned Frogs.

Do the Cougars Have a Shot at a Home Win?

At home this season, Houston has gone 18-0, and they have won their last 18 games at home. Their average scoring margin at home is +27.0 points per game.

Overall, Houston is 28-3, and they have won their last eight games. In their most recent game, they defeated Kansas by a score of 76-46.

As the favorite this season, Houston has gone 13-13-2 vs. the spread. However, their ATS mark as the favorite over their last 10 games is just 3-5-2. At home, the Cougars have an ATS record of 11-6-1 this season and they are 6-3-1 vs. the spread in their last 10 games at home.

Today’s over/under line of 137.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Houston’s games this season (133). This year, the over/under record in their games is 12-17. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 139 points and their OU record during this stretch is 1-2.

The Houston offense is coming off a game in which they scored 76 points vs. Kansas. Overall their field goal percentage was 43.8% while connecting on 11 threes. On the offensive front, the Cougars have a season-long field goal percentage of 43%, ranking 270th nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 143rd in terms of percentage and 157th in three-pointers made.

This season, the Houston defense has been impressive, holding the 1st position in the country while permitting an average of 56.9 points per contest. Houston’s three-point defense is currently 60th in the country at 6.1 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 38.2% of their shots vs. Houston.