Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Trojans versus the Hornets? Tip off is at at 7:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at Dunn-Oliver Acadome in Montgomery, AL. The Trojans come into this non-conference matchup as the betting favorite. The over/under line currently sits at 148.5 points.

USC TROJANS VS ALABAMA STATE HORNETS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Alabama State Hornets +16.5

This game will be played at Dunn-Oliver Acadome at 7:00 ET on Tuesday, December 19th.

WHY BET THE ALABAMA STATE HORNETS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 74-69 in favor of the Hornets.
  • Not only will Alabama State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +16.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 148.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 143 points.

Does USC Have What it Takes to Win as Road Favorites?

USC currently holds a 5-5 overall record heading into today’s game. Looking at their previous ten road games, USC has gone 4-6, stretching back to last year. USC’s ATS performance shows a record of 4-5 leading into today’s game. When playing away, the Trojans are 1-2 vs. the spread, while they are 3-3 at home ATS.

After 10 games, USC has an over/under record of 7-2-0, with their games averaging a combined 151.9 points per game so far. The Trojans’ have recorded an over/under record of 3-0 in their last three games, with their games averaging 164 points per game.

The Trojans’ offense wrapped up their last game with 75 points, aligning closely with their current season average of 78.5 points per contest. Boogie Ellis is leading the team in scoring at 21.4 points per contest. Isaiah Collier has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 16.6 going into the game.

On the defensive side, USC is currently hovering around the NCAA’s average for points allowed, conceding an average of 72.7 points per game. Against Auburn in their most recent game, the USC defense gave up a total of 91 points while allowing Auburn to hit 47% of their shots.

Can Alabama State Deliver Being Underdogs at Home?

Today, Alabama State will face off against USC in their 10th game of the season. So far this year, they have a 4-5 record. Looking at their last five home games, including last year, Alabama State has a 2-3 record. Alabama State has a current ATS record of 6-1 heading into today’s game. Over their last five games, the team is 3-1 vs. the spread.

In nine games, Alabama State comes in with an over/under mark of 4-3-0, with their games averaging 149 points per game. The Hornets have an over/under record of 0-2 in their last three games, with their games averaging 131 points per game.

Against LSU, the Alabama State had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 74.8 points per game. They scored 56 points and posted a field goal percentage of 36.1% in the game. On offense, Alabama State has been struggling with their efficiency, coming into today’s game with a field goal percentgage of 38%. So far, they are 164th in free-throws made on a free throw shooting percentage of 72%.

So far, the Hornets’ defense is ranked 213rd in the country at 75.2 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 7.2 threes per game vs. USC. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 27.3%.