After a couple of weeks off, the UFC returns to the Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada this weekend. has posted odds on all of the bouts and there are some intriguing ones on the board. Let’s take a deeper dive to see where the value lies on Saturday’s card.


Kai Kara-France vs. Amir Albazi

Odds At Kara-France -115

The headline matchup of the night is the main event with Kai Kara-France taking on Amir Albazi. Kara-France hasn’t stepped into the Octagon since he fell just short of a title shot last summer. It was an interim flyweight title but he a missed opportunity nonetheless. The loss ended his three-fight winning streak and he’ll be looking to get back on track again in this one.

Amir Albazi, on the other hand, is 4-0 right now with three finishes in his last four bouts. The concern here is how much you can trust that run. While that stretch is good, none of the wins were against ranked opponent. Albazi had two ranked fights fall through, so this is his first real test to climb the division rankings.

Albazi is a grappler and France is a striker, so this will be one of those classic matchups of style. France stuffs 87% of takedown attempts, so he should be able to keep this in the place where he wants to be.

Pick: France By Decision

Alex Caceres vs. Daniel Pineda

Odds At Caceres -190

Alex Caceres will be preparing to step into the Octagon alongside Daniel Pineda. Caceres has been competing in the UFC for a long time and is really finding a rhythm. He’s won six of his last seven bouts, including a first-round stoppage in his most recent outing against Julian Erosa. A win here could catapult him into the top 15 in the featherweight rankings. He’ll have to get through Daniel Pineda in order to make that happen, though. Pineda has 28 wins over the course of his career and all of them have been finishes. He has entertaining fights and they never go the distances. Why bet on that to change in this one?

Pick: Fight Will Not Go The Distance

Jim Miller vs. Jesse Butler

Odds At Miller -260

Jim Miller was supposed to fight Jared Gordon on Saturday but he had to bow out. Now Miller will take on Jesse Butler instead.

Miller is 39 years old and yet keeps on marching forward. He’s got the all-time record for UFC wins and the all-time record for appearances. He did just lose his three- fight winning streak in February after a loss to Alexander Hernandez, though. With the number of miles on his engines, you never know when it will be his last bout.

Butler steps in here and he’s 12-4 in his MMA career. Even though he’s won five fights in a row, he’s still a sizable dog here. He’s a well-rounded fighter but this will be his UFC debut. He’s a well-rounded fighter and has potential for the upset here. Miller is a crafty veteran but he is in the twilight of his career. Don’t be surprised if we see a surprise here.

Pick: Butler +235

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