Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Trojans versus the Flyers? Tip off is at at 12:30 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on USA. The game will be played at UD Arena in Dayton, OH. The over/under for this game is set at 137.5 points, and the Flyers are the home favorites against the Trojans in a non-conference matchup.

TROY TROJANS VS DAYTON FLYERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Dayton Flyers -14

This game will be played at UD Arena at 12:30 ET on Saturday, December 9th.

WHY BET THE DAYTON FLYERS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 79-64 in favor of the Flyers.
  • Not only will Dayton pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -14.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 137.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 143 points.

Is a Win at Dayton Possible for the Trojans?

In their first eight games of the season, Troy has a record of 4-4. So far this season, all of the Trojans’ games have been played on the road. As of today’s game, Troy has a 4-2 ATS record. In their previous five games, they are 3-1 vs. the spread.

Up to this point, games involving Troy have had an average of 156 points per game, with the average over/under line set at 143.8 points. Their over/under record is 4-2-0. Looking at the Trojans’ last three games, their over/under record is 1-2 with their games averaging 147 points per game.

The Trojans’ offense wrapped up their last game with 83 points, aligning closely with their current season average of 84.8 points per contest. On the offensive front, the Trojans have a season-long field goal percentage of 44%, ranking 234th nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 166th in terms of percentage and 77th in three-pointers made.

At present, the Trojans’ defense is nationally ranked 107th, allowing 69.2 points per game. In their most recent game, the Troy defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as SIUE knocked down 10 three-pointers on their way to 60 points.

Is A Home Victory Likely for the Favored Flyers?

Dayton, who has a 6-2 record overall, will be playing their 9th game of the season. In away games, the Flyers are 2-2, while they are 4-0 at home. Up to this point, Dayton has been solid in terms of covering the spread, sitting at 4-3-1. In home games this season, Dayton has a 2-2 mark vs. the spread, and over their last ten home games, they are at .500 with a 5-5 ATS record.

Looking at their over/under performance through eight games, Dayton has an over/under record of 4-4-0, with their games averaging 134.1 points per game on average. The Flyers have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last three games, with their games averaging 131 points per game.

The Dayton offense is coming off a game where they scored 76 points against Grambling State. They posted a field goal percentage of 50% and connected on 14 threes. DaRon Holmes II is leading the team in scoring at 15.5 points per contest. Nate Santos has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 13.5 going into the game.

So far, the Flyers’ defense is ranked 40th in the country at 64.1 points per contest. Against Grambling State, the Flyers’ defense gave up 46 points and did a good job not fouling. For the game, Grambling State only made 6 free-throws.